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A28    SCIENCE
                Saturday 2 February 2019
             Ocean mixing that drives climate found in surprise location




             By SETH BORENSTEIN                                                                                                 nent.
              AP Science Writer                                                                                                 Scientists have long feared
             WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  One                                                                                           that  the  conveyor  belt
             of  the  key  drivers  of  the                                                                                     could  be  slowing  and,  in
             world's climate is an area in                                                                                      a   worst-case   scenario,
             the  North  Atlantic  Ocean                                                                                        could even stop and cause
             where  warmer  and  colder                                                                                         abrupt  and  catastrophic
             water  mix  and  swirl.  When                                                                                      climate  change.  It  is  con-
             scientists went for their first                                                                                    sidered a potential climate
             close  look  at  this  critical                                                                                    tipping  point  that  was  the
             underwater  dynamo,  they                                                                                          premise of the scientifically
             found they were looking in                                                                                         inaccurate  2004  disaster
             the wrong place.                                                                                                   movie  "The  Day  After  To-
             By hundreds of miles.                                                                                              morrow."
             The consequences are not                                                                                           Based on computer model
             quite  yet  understood,  but                                                                                       studies, the United Nations'
             eventually it could change                                                                                         Intergovernmental    Panel
             forecasts  of  one  of  the                                                                                        on  Climate  Change  re-
             worst-case global warming                                                                                          ported  in  an  earlier  study
             scenarios — still considered                                                                                       it  is  "very  unlikely"  that  the
             unlikely  this  century  —  in                                                                                     conveyor  belt  would  col-
             which the mixing stops and   In this September 2018 photo provided by researcher Isabela Le Bras, a probe which collects wa-  lapse  this  century.  But  the
             climate chaos ensues.       ter samples and measures temperature, salinity and pressure is prepared for deployment on the   Nobel  Prize-winning  scien-
             It's  called  the  Atlantic  Me-  continental shelf of Greenland.                                                  tific  panel  concluded  it  is
             ridional  Overturning  Circu-                                                                     Associated Press  likely  to  get  about  a  third
             lation  ,  and  scientists  de-                                                                                    slower  if  greenhouse  gas
             scribe  it  as  a  giant  ocean  Atlantic  to  try  to  better  computer  simulations  that  "It  doesn't  mean  that  the  emissions  continue  at  its
             conveyor  belt  that  moves  understand  the  conveyor  predict  how  the  climate  models are all wrong at all,"  current pace.
             water   from   Greenland  belt. The preliminary results  could  change  in  coming  said Tom Delworth, a senior  A study last year found that
             south to beyond the tip of  after hundreds of measure-   years  didn't  factor  in  ex-  scientist  at  the  National  global warming is weaken-
             Africa  and  into  the  Indian  ments  in  21  months  found  actly  where  the  conveyor  Oceanic and Atmospheric  ing  the  system,  saying  the
             Ocean.                      that  engine  was  several  belt  engine  is,  and  now  Administration's  geophysi-   conveyor belt was moving
             Warm, salty water near the  hundreds  of  miles  east  of  they may be able to. Lozier  cal  lab  in  Princeton,  New  at its slowest speed in near-
             surface  moves  north  and  where  they  figured,  said  and several outside experts  Jersey.                      ly 140 years of records.
             mixes  with  cold,  fresher  study  lead  author  Susan  said  this  doesn't  change  MIT's  Carl  Wunsch  and  "Our     basic   understand-
             water  near  Greenland.  As  Lozier,  an  ocean  sciences  their trust in the models, es-  other  outside  experts  said  ing that the collapse is un-
             that  water  cools  and  sinks  professor  at  Duke  Univer-  pecially because when the  the  study  was  helpful,  but  likely  still  stands,"  said  Del-
             it  drives  a  slow  circulation  sity.  The study, published in  models  are  checked  with  pointed out that 21 months  worth,  who  wasn't  part  of
             of  the  oceans  that  is  criti-  Thursday's  journal  Science,  what  is  happening  in  the  of  study  is  not  enough  to  the study. "Our uncertainty
             cal  to  global  climate,  af-  puts  it  east  of  Greenland,  real  world,  they  are  found  know  if  this  different  loca-  about  that  prediction  is
             fecting  the  location  of  closer   to   Scotland.The  to be generally accurate.     tion is temporary or perma-  high."q
             droughts  and  frequency
             of  hurricanes.  It  also  stores
             heat-trapping carbon diox-                               Special airlift for baby flamingos
             ide deep in the ocean.  The
             faster  it  moves,  the  more                            in peril in South Africa
             warm  water  gets  sent  into
             the depths to cool.
             The area where warm wa-                                  By KEVIN SUTHERLAND          bodies  of  hundreds  of  8,000  young  flamingos  re-
             ter  turns  over  in  the  North                          Associated Press            dead  chicks.  The  cheeps  main  at  the  reservoir  near
             Atlantic is considered to be                             KIMBERLEY,  South  Africa  of  chicks  trapped  inside  Kimberley,  active  but  still
             the engine of the convey-                                (AP)  —  A  special  airlift  for  overheating  eggs  can  be  too young to fly. If the wa-
             or  belt.  Scientists  thought                           thousands  of  baby  flamin-  heard.                      ter  levels  keep  dropping,
             it was in the Labrador Sea                               gos  is  under  way  in  South  Local and national groups,  experts  said,  the  parents
             west of Greenland.          In this Thursday, Jan. 31, 2019   Africa  as  drought  has  put  along  with  environmental  might abandon the chicks
             But then a new internation-  photo,  a  rescued  flamingo   their  breeding  ground  in  authorities,  have  stepped  to save themselves.
             al science team measured    chick tries to walk at a centre   peril.                  in for the rescue operation  The  chicks  in  new  homes
             temperature,  saltiness  and   in Pretoria, South Africa, after   A  reservoir  that  hosts  one  swiftly   organized   online  face a special diet of baby
             the  speed  of  ocean  cur-  being  rescued  from  a  dried   of  southern  Africa's  larg-  and by word of mouth. Bird  cereal,   sardines,   eggs,
                                         out dam in Kimberley.
             rents throughout the North              Associated Press  est  flamingo  populations  experts  and  veterinarians  prawns  and  vitamin  sup-
                                                                      is  drying  up.  The  flamingo  have pitched in.          plements.
                                                                      eggs  are  losing  their  cool,  Local diamond mines paid  To simulate parents, feath-
                                                                      moist protective cover and  for an emergency flight to  er dusters are placed in the
                                                                      their inner membranes are  carry the first batch of 900  chicks'  boxes.  Interaction
                                                                      hardening,  making  it  diffi-  chicks  to  the  capital,  Pre-  with  humans  is  restricted
                                                                      cult for chicks to peck their  toria.  Other  batches  have  beyond  feeding  to  mini-
                                                                      way  out.  Predators  such  been flown to Cape Town  mize  imprinting.  Infrared
                                                                      as  meerkats,  dogs  and  and other approved loca-        lights give warmth.
                                                                      hawks  are nearby, waiting  tions.                        Some of the chicks' rescuers
                                                                      for the exhausted chicks to  Three  thousand  flamingo  are already thinking about
                                                                      emerge.                      chicks  have  been  moved  next year and what to do if
                                                                      The  site  is  littered  with  the  in  all.  Another  6,000  to  drought occurs again.q
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