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Monday 6 March 2017 BUSINESS
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            Wall Street Reader:


            The bump isn’t just Trump: What’s driving the stock rally




            STAN CHOE                                                                              Improvement  was  under-     with more purchases. That
            AP Business Writer                                                                     way before Trump entered     buying  has  helped  to  bid
            NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  The                                                                the  White  House,  but  his   up stocks even more.
            stock market is hitting new                                                            election has spurred things   CORPORATE  PROFITS  ARE
            heights,  and  yes,  excite-                                                           along.  Optimism  among      GETTING  BETTER:  Big  busi-
            ment     about    President                                                            small  businesses,  for  ex-  nesses  are  finally  earning
            Trump’s  policies  is  part  of                                                        ample, spiked higher after   bigger  profits  again.Earn-
            the reason for it. But it’s not                                                        the election and is now at   ings per share for compa-
            the only one, analysts say.                                                            its highest level since 2004,   nies  in  the  S&P  500  were
            Even if Donald Trump had                                                               according  to  surveys  from   nearly  6  percent  higher
            lost  the  election,  many                                                             the  National  Federation    last  quarter  than  a  year
            professional  investors  and                                                           of  Independent  Business.   earlier,  with  nearly  all  of
            analysts say they still would                                                          Confidence  also  jumped     the  companies  reporting,
            have    expected     stocks                                                            for  regular  households  fol-  according  to  S&P  Global
            to  rise,  just  perhaps  not                                                          lowing  the  election,  and   Market  Intelligence.  It’s
            to  the  same  degree.  The                                                            consumer confidence is at    a  sharp  turnaround  from
            Standard  &  Poor’s  index                                                             its  highest  level  since  the   a  year  ago,  when  low  oil
            has  leapt  11.3  percent                                                              summer of 2001.              prices  and  other  factors
            since  Election  Day,  pack-                                                           If that translates into more   were  pulling  down  profits
            ing  more  gains  into  four                                                           purchases  at  stores  and   for  S&P  500  companies.
            months than it’s had in four   Trader Gregory Rowe works on the floor of the New York Stock   elsewhere,  it  should  drive   Profit  growth  was  particu-
            of  the  last  six  full  years.  It   Exchange. The stock market is hitting new heights, and yes, ex-  even   more   economic   larly  strong  for  technology
            dipped a bit Thursday, but   citement about President Trump’s policies is part of the reason   growth.              and  financial  companies.
            it’s still close to its record set   for it. But it’s not the only one, analysts say.  Other  economies  around     Microsoft’s  earnings  rose
            a day earlier.                                                 (AP Photo/Richard Drew)  the world are also improv-  on  stronger  sales  of  busi-
            Here’s  a  look  at  some  of   bills  for  companies  should  given recent gains in inter-  ing,  raising  expectations   ness software, for example,
            the  factors  behind  the    lead  to  an  immediate  est  rates,  which  will  make   for profits of big U.S. com-  and  investment  banks  re-
            strong run for stocks:       rise  in  earnings,  and  stock  lending money more profit-  panies,  which  do  a  lot  of   ported a strong quarter for
            THE  TRUMP  BUMP:  The  first   prices tend to track profits  able.                    their business overseas.     their trading operations.But
            reaction  for  markets  to   over  the  long  term.  Easier  THE  ECONOMY  IS  GETTING   HIGHER  CONFIDENCE  ALL    just as each of these pillars
            Trump’s  win  of  the  White   regulations   should   also  BETTER:  Growth  has  been   AROUND:  Confidence  has   has helped to lift stocks in
            House    was    confusion.   help  businesses,  the  think-  frustratingly  slow  since  the   spread even to regular in-  recent months, a weaken-
            Many  investors  had  been   ing  goes,  particularly  big  end  of  the  Great  Reces-  vestors.                   ing  of  any  of  them  could
            expecting a victory for Hill-  banks and other financials  sion,  but  the  job  market  is   After years of hiding out in   remove  some  support.  If
            ary  Clinton,  and  markets   that  have  been  under  re-  picking  up  steam.  The  un-  bonds  and  other  safer  in-  tax  cuts  come  later  than
            around the world tumbled     strictions imposed following  employment  rate  in  Janu-  vestments,  retail  investors   expected,  or  if  they  end
            on  election  night  as  the   the  financial  crisis.Finan-  ary  was  4.8  percent,  and   began creeping back into   up being only minor ones,
            result  became  apparent.    cial  stocks  have  been  the  economists see the econo-  stock  mutual  funds  and    it  could  mean  a  drop  for
            But  they  reversed  course   best-performing  sector  by  my as close to full employ-  exchange-traded     funds   stocks.
            within  hours.  The  reason:   far of the 11 that make up  ment. A report on Thursday   following  the  election.  In-  Critics also worry that that
            Investors are expecting the   the S&P 500 since the elec-  showed  that  the  fewest   vestors  plugged  $20.7  bil-  stock  prices  have  run  up
            Trump White House to push    tion.  Besides  the  hope  for  number of workers applied   lion  into  U.S.  stock  funds   at a time when they were
            through  tax  cuts  for  busi-  looser  regulations,  analysts  for unemployment benefits   in  November,  the  biggest   already looking overpriced
            nesses and to loosen regu-   are also excited about the  last week since Richard Nix-  month in nearly two years.   relative  to  their  earnings.
            lations  on  them.Lower  tax   prospect  for  bigger  profits  on was in the White House.   They’ve  followed  that  up   One popular way to mea-
                                                                                                                                sure  whether  the  stock
              UK asset managers Standard Life, Aberdeen discuss merger                                                          market is expensive or not
                                                                                                                                is  to  compare  the  S&P
                                                                                                                                500’s level against its earn-
            LONDON  (AP)  —  British  as-  lion)  company,  reflecting  be  subject  to  shareholder  board  of  the  combined   ings over the prior 10 years,
            set management firms Ab-     the combined market cap-     approval. Aberdeen share-    group,  and  Aberdeen’s      adjusted  for  inflation.  By
            erdeen  and  Standard  Life  italization  of  the  two  firms,  holders  would  own  33.3  chairman  Simon  Trough-  that  measure,  which  was
            are in talks about a possible  overseeing  assets  worth  percent and Standard Life  ton would become deputy        popularized   by    Nobel-
            merger  that  could  create  660 billion pounds ($811 bil-  shareholders  66.7  percent  chairman.                  winning  economist  Robert
            one of the country’s largest  lion).                      of the combined group.       Standard Life will announce   Shiller, the S&P 500 is close
            fund managers.               Standard Life said in a state-  Standard  Life  chairman  its intentions on making an   to its most expensive level
            The move would create an  ment  Saturday  that  the  Gerry        Grimstone   would  offer,  or  not,  by  the  eve-  since the dot-com bubble
            11  billion-pound  ($13.5  bil-  completion of a merger will  become  chairman  of  the  ning of April 1. q         was deflating in 2002.q
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