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A28    SCIENCE
                     Thursday 11 July 2019

            ‘A floodier future’: Scientists say records will be broken


            By WAYNE PARRY                                                                                                      er  May  2018  through  April
            Associated Press                                                                                                    2019. The agency forecasts
            ATLANTIC CITY, N.J. (AP) —                                                                                          sunny-day   flooding   this
            The  federal  government                                                                                            year  in  Boston  at  12  to  19
            is  warning  Americans  to                                                                                          days (it had 19 last year).
            brace  for  a  “floodier”  fu-                                                                                      It   predicted   sunny-day
            ture.                                                                                                               flooding  this  year  in  New
            Government  scientists  pre-                                                                                        York  (8  to  13  days,  com-
            dict  40  places  in  the  U.S.                                                                                     pared  with  12  last  year);
            will experience higher than                                                                                         Norfolk,  Virginia  (10  to  15
            normal  rates  of  so-called                                                                                        days;  compared  to  10
            sunny  day  flooding  this                                                                                          days last year); Charleston,
            year because of rising sea                                                                                          South Carolina (4 to 7 days,
            levels  and  an  abnormal  El                                                                                       compared  to  5  last  year);
            Nino weather system.                                                                                                Pensacola,  Florida  (2  to  5
            A report released Wednes-                                                                                           days compared with 4 last
            day  by  the  National  Oce-                                                                                        year);  Sabine  Pass,  Texas
            anic and Atmospheric Ad-                                                                                            (6  to  13  days  compared
            ministration  predicts  that                                                                                        with 8 last year) and Eagle
            sunny  day  flooding,  also                                                                                         Point, Texas (29 to 40 days,
            known as tidal flooding, will                                                                                       compared to 27 last year).
            continue to increase.        In this Oct. 5, 2017, file photo, residents move a “no wake,” sign through flood waters caused by   West  coast  predictions  in-
            “The future is already here,   king tides in Fort Lauderdale, Fla.                                                  cluded  San  Diego  (5  to  9
            a  floodier  future,”  said                                                                        Associated Press  days  compared  to  8  last
            William  Sweet,  a  NOAA  Service.    “This  issue  gets   “We’re  not  talking  about  ami region, and farmlands  year);  Los  Angeles  (1  to  4
            oceanographer  and  lead  more  urgent  and  compli-      disaster  flooding.  We’re  in  the  Delmarva  Peninsula  days  compared  to  5  last
            author of the study.         cated  with  every  passing   talking  about  repetitive  in Delaware and Maryland  year); Humboldt  Bay,  Cali-
            The  report  predicted  that  day.” Global sea levels are   flooding  that  disrupts  peo-  have  been  damaged  by  fornia  (6  to  12  days  com-
            annual  flood  records  will  rising  at  a  rate  of  about  3   ple’s lives on a daily basis.  salt water encroaching into  pared to 12 last year); Toke
            be broken again next year  millimeters a year, or about   It’s  sometimes  called  ‘nui-  planted areas.            Point,  Washington  (9  to  21
            and for years and decades  an  inch  every  eight  years,   sance  flooding,’  but  it  has  High-tide  flooding  is  caus-  days  compared  to  12  last
            to come from sea-level rise.  according  to  Rutgers  Uni-  real impacts and costs.”   ing   problems   including  year) and 2 to 6 days in Se-
            “Flooding  that  decades  versity  researchers,  who      The report cited the disrup-  beach    erosion,   over-   attle,  compared  to  2  last
            ago usually happened only  predict  that  by  2050,  seas   tion of commerce in down-  whelmed sewer and drink-     year.
            during a powerful or local-  off  New  Jersey  will  rise  by   town Annapolis, Maryland,  ing  water  systems,  closed  The  report  documented
            ized  storm  can  now  hap-  an  additional  1.4  feet  (0.4   where  parking  spaces  are  roadways,  disrupted  har-  that  12  locations  broke  or
            pen when a steady breeze  meters).                        lost to flooding.            bor  operations,  degraded  ties  their  record  of  sunny
            or a change in coastal cur-  The  study  noted  floods    A 2017 study put the price  infrastructure and reduced  day  flooding  last  year,
            rent  overlaps  with  a  high  interfering  with  traffic  in   tag on lost economic activ-  property  values  —  prob-  including  22  in  Washing-
            tide,” it read.              northeast  states,  swamp-   ity at as much as $172,000.  lems which “are nearly cer-  ton,  D.C.,  14  in  Wilming-
            The  nationwide  average  ing septic systems in Florida   The water table has risen to  tain to get much worse this  ton,  North  Carolina;  and
            frequency  of  sunny  day  and  choking  Delaware         ground  level  and  degrad-  century,” the report read.   12  each  in  Baltimore  and
            flooding  in  2018  was  five  and   Maryland   coastal   ed septic systems in the Mi-  The  report’s  statistics  cov-  Annapolis.q
            days a year, tying a record  farms  with  saltwater  over
                                         the past year.
            set in 2015.                 Baltimore  experienced  12  Virgin Orbit conducts drop-test
            But  the  East  Coast  aver-
                                         days  of  high-tide  flooding
            aged twice as much flood-    from  1902  to  1936.  Within  of rocket from Boeing 747
            ing.
            The  agency  says  the  level  the last 12 months, it expe-  By JOHN ANTCZAK
            of  sunny  day  flooding  in  rienced  an  additional  12   Associated Press
            the U.S. has doubled since  days. Robert Kopp, a lead-    LOS ANGELES (AP) — Virgin
            2000.    Nationwide,   the  ing  climate  scientist  with   Galactic’s  sister  company
            agency  predicted,  aver-    Rutgers University, who was   Virgin  Orbit  conducted  a
            age  sunny  day  flooding  not  involved  in  the  study,   drop test of its air-launched
            could reach 7 to 15 days a  said  it  confirmed  many     satellite  booster  over  Cali-
            year by 2030, and 25 to 75  well-established trends.      fornia  on  Wednesday,  a
            days a year by 2050.         “It’s  simple  arithmetic:  If   key step toward space mis-
            “We  cannot  wait  to  act,”  you have higher sea level,   sions.
            said Nicole LeBoeuf, acting  you will have tides causing   The  70-foot  (21.3-meter)
            director of NOAA’s Ocean  flooding,” he said.             LauncherOne  rocket  was     In this photo provided by Virgin Orbit, a rocket is dropped from

                                                                      released from a Boeing 747   a Boeing 747 airplane flying above Edwards Air Force Base in
                                                                      flying  35,000  feet  (10,668   California, Wednesday, July 10, 2019.
                                                                      meters)  over  an  Edwards                                            Associated Press
                                                                      Air Force Base test range in  The test did not involve the  ect.
                                                                      the Mojave Desert.           ignition of the rocket motor.  “It’s the capstone to a thor-
                                                                      The purpose of the test was  “The release was extremely  ough  development  pro-
                                                                      to observe how the rocket  smooth, and the rocket fell  gram not just for a rocket,
                                                                      detached  from  the  747’s  away nicely,” Chief Test Pi-  but  for  our  carrier  aircraft,
                                                                      wing and its free-fall to the  lot Kelly Latimer said.    our ground  support equip-
                                                                      desert  floor  before  the  first  Virgin  Orbit  CEO  Dan  Hart  ment,  and  all  of  our  flight
                                                                      actual  orbital  launch  later  said it was “a monumental  procedures,”  he  said  in  a
                                                                      this year.                   step  forward”  for  the  proj-  statement.q
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