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BUSINESS                 Friday 16 august 2019
                                                                                                                           A25

             US stocks steady after plunge, but caution still reigns




            By STAN CHOE                                                                                                        worries  that  businesses  will
            Associated Press                                                                                                    pull back on their spending
            NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  Stocks                                                                                          due  to  all  the  uncertainty
            around the world remained                                                                                           created by the trade war.
            stuck in the spin cycle Thurs-                                                                                      Other economies are slow-
            day,  as  worries  about  a                                                                                         ing as the trade war is do-
            possible  recession  collided                                                                                       ing  damage  to  manufac-
            with  hopes  that  the  stron-                                                                                      turers around the world.
            gest part of the U.S. econ-                                                                                         Those  concerns  helped
            omy — shoppers spending                                                                                             drive  the  yield  on  the  10-
            at stores and online — can                                                                                          year  Treasury  down  to
            keep going.                                                                                                         1.53%  Thursday  from  1.58%
            The  S&P  500  clawed  back                                                                                         late Wednesday. That yield
            some  of  its  steep  loss  from                                                                                    has been steadily dropping
            a  day  earlier,  when  stocks                                                                                      since late last year, when it
            tumbled  after  a  fairly  reli-                                                                                    was above 3%.
            able  warning  signal  of  re-                                                                                      The  10-year  yield  has  sunk
            cession  emerged  from  the                                                                                         so  much  that  it  dropped
            bond  market.  Stocks  in                                                                                           below the yield of the two-
            Asia  and  Europe,  mean-                                                                                           year  Treasury  Wednesday,
            while,  sank  after  China                                                                                          a rare occurrence and one
            said  it  would  take  "neces-                                                                                      that  has  historically  sug-
            sary  countermeasures"  if   Trader Michael Capolino works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Thursday, Aug. 15,   gested a recession may be
            President  Donald  Trump     2019.                                                                                  a year or two away.
            follows through on a threat                                                                        Associated Press  The  30-year  Treasury  yield
            to  impose  tariffs  on  more                                                                                       fell  to  1.99%  from  2.02%
            than $100 billion of Chinese  been  doing  for  weeks.  in  the  last  three  months  0.6%  through  the  morning.  and  earlier  touched  a  re-
            goods on Sept. 1.            Prices  for  everything  from  than Wall Street expected,  A  day  earlier,  it  plunged  cord low, a sign of concern
            The  U.S.  bond  market,  stocks  to  gold  to  oil  have  thanks in part to strong on-  2.9%.                      among  investors.  When
            which  has  been  among  been  heaving  as  investors  line  sales  of  groceries.  A  The  Dow  Jones  Industrial  worried about weaker eco-
            the loudest  and  earliest  to  flail  from  one  moment  of  separate  government  re-  Average  rose  125  points,  nomic growth and inflation,
            cry out warnings about the  uncertainty around Trump's  port  also  showed  that  re-  or  0.5%  to  25,604,  and  the  they tend to pile into Trea-
            economy,  also  continued  trade     war   to   another  tail sales across the country  Nasdaq  composite  rose  surys, which pushes up their
            to  show  concern  as  yields  around what central banks  last month rose more than  0.3%.                          prices  and  in  turn  pushes
            fell.                        will do with interest rates.  economists expected.        Consumer spending makes  down yields.
            Trading  was  again  turbu-  In the U.S., Walmart shares  The  S&P  500  was  up  0.5%,  up  the  bulk  of  the  U.S.  "The countdown to a reces-
            lent,  and  markets  around  surged 4.3% and helped to  as  of  12:08  p.m.  Eastern  economy,  and  shoppers  sion  has  just  started,"  said
            the  world  jerked  up  and  steady  the  market  after  it  time after flipping between  have  been  carrying  the  Hussein  Sayed,  Chief  Mar-
            down  Thursday  as  they've  said it made a bigger profit  a loss of 0.2% and a gain of  economy  recently  amid  ket Strategist at FXTM.q

            US industrial output fell 0.2% in July as factories struggle




            By JOSH BOAK                 on  Wednesday  flashed  show growth. The pace of
            Associated Press             signs  of  a  possible  reces-  manufacturing  job  growth
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  U.S.  sion.  The  interest  charged  has slowed, but the sector
            industrial  production  fell  on  10-year  U.S.  Treasury  is not beset by layoffs. The
            0.2% in July, as factory ac-  notes  fell  below  the  rate  Institute  for  Supply  Man-
            tivity  slumped  in  a  worri-  charged  on  2-year  notes,  agement,  an  association
            some sign for the economy.   usually an indicator that in-  of  purchasing  managers,
            The  Federal  Reserve  said  vestors see near-term prob-  said earlier this month that
            Thursday  that  the  overall  lems  that  could  cause  a  its  survey  shows  the  sector
            decline  was  caused  pri-   downturn.                    is still expanding, though it
            marily  by  a  0.4%  drop  last  Jennifer Lee, a senior econ-  has  suffered  from  a  slow-
            month  in  manufacturing  omist at BMO Capital Mar-       down.                        In this June 24, 2019, file photo Ford's employees work on a Lin-
                                                                                                   coln Aviator line at Ford's Chicago Assembly Plant in Chicago's
            production.  Output  de-     kets,  said  the  trade  war  is  Other  components  of  the   Hegewisch neighborhood.
            creased for autos, fabricat-  weighing heavily on manu-   Fed’s  industrial  production                                         Associated Press
            ed metals, wood products,  facturers.                     report were mixed.
            textiles  and  plastics  and  “Uncertainty  over  which  Production  at  the  nation’s
            rubber products.             way  it  is  headed,  or  how  utilities increased 3.1%. Pro-
            Over  the  past  12  months,  painful it will be, is prevent-  duction at mines, a sector
            factory   production   has  ing businesses from moving  that  also  covers  oil  and
            fallen 0.5%. Manufacturers’  too far forward with spend-  gas drilling, fell 1.8% as Hur-
            struggles  reflect  a  global  ing, investing, hiring plans,”  ricane  Barry  temporarily
            softening in growth that has  she said.                   halted oil extraction in the
            been  magnified  by  Presi-  The declining output at fac-  Gulf of Mexico.
            dent Donald Trump’s use of  tories has led some analysts  More  plant  equipment  is
            tariffs  to  escalate  a  trade  and  politicians  to  suggest  sitting idle. Capacity utiliza-
            war  with  China.  The  risks  that  manufacturing  has  tion slipped in July to 77.5%,
            have  been  great  enough  entered into its own reces-    down 2.2 points from a year
            that  the  financial  markets  sion. But other indicators still  ago.q
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