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A28    SCIENCE
                     Tuesday 16 april 2019
            Pace of Bering Sea changes startles scientists




            By DAN JOLING                                                                                                       this  whole  Pandora’s  box
            Associated Press                                                                                                    of  not  really  knowing  how
            ANCHORAGE,  Alaska  (AP)                                                                                            the ecosystem as a whole
            — The Yupik Eskimo village                                                                                          is  going  to  adjust  to  that,”
            of Kotlik on Alaska’s north-                                                                                        Danielson said.
            west coast relies on a cold,                                                                                        The  U.S.  Fish  and  Wildlife
            hard blanket of sea ice to                                                                                          Service  and  the  National
            protect homes from vicious                                                                                          Park Service early last sum-
            winter Bering Sea storms.                                                                                           mer detected trouble. Resi-
            Frigid  north  winds  blow                                                                                          dent called with reports of
            down  from  the  Arctic                                                                                             emaciated and dead sea-
            Ocean,  freeze  saltwater                                                                                           birds.
            and  push  sea  ice  south.                                                                                         Common  murres,  which
            The  ice  normally  prevents                                                                                        can  use  up  fat  reserves
            waves  from  forming  and                                                                                           and starve after three days
            locks  onto  beaches,  wall-                                                                                        without eating, fly hundreds
            ing off villages. But not this                                                                                      miles  to  find  fish  schools
            year.                                                                                                               or  krill  but  were  washing
            In   February,   southwest                                                                                          up  dead  on  shore.    Fork-
            winds  brought  warm  air                                                                                           tail  storm  petrels,  fulmars,
            and  turned  thin  sea  ice                                                                                         shearwaters,    kittiwakes,
            into  “snow  cone  ice”  that                                                                                       auklets  and  puffins  also
            melted  or  blew  off.  When                                                                                        died.
            a  storm  pounded  Norton                                                                                           No one can say why. Sea-
            Sound,  water  on  Feb.  12                                                                                         bird experts wonder wheth-
            surged up the Yukon River                                                                                           er  the  presence  of  more
            and  into  Kotlik,  flooding   In this Feb. 12, 2019 photo provided by Philomena Keys, high water pushed up the Yukon River   pollock  and  Pacific  cod,
            low-lying homes.             from the Bering Sea floods yards around homes in the western village of Kotlik, Alaska.   which  have  voracious  ap-
            Lifelong  resident  Philom-                                                                        Associated Press  petites and are far more ef-
            ena  Keyes,  37,  awoke  to  at  the  University  of  Alaska   torically  has  concentrated  stock  is  declining,  is  suffer-  ficient hunters of forage fish
            knee-deep  water  outside  Fairbanks.                     Pacific  cod  and  walleye  ing  because  of  the  warm-  than seabirds, was a factor.
            her house.                   “The projections were say-   pollock in the southeastern  ing  temperatures?  Or  is  it  Dean Stockwell, a research
            “This  is  the  first  I  experi-  ing  we  would’ve  hit  situa-  Bering Sea.         that  they’ve  moved  north  associate  professor  at  the
            enced  in  my  life,  a  flood  tions similar to what we saw   “It tends to extend from the  and  it’s  still  a  vibrant  fish-  University  of  Alaska  Fair-
            that happened in the win-    last year, but not for anoth-  Russian  side  to  the  north-  ery?” See said.         banks  with  a  specialty  in
            ter, in February,” Keyes said  er  40  or  50  years,”  Daniel-  west,” said Lyle Britt, a fisher-  It’s  too  soon  to  conclude  phytoplankton,  said  the
            in a phone interview.        son said.                    ies biologist for the National  that   atmosphere   and  ocean  changes  have  the
            Winter  storm  surge  flood-  Walruses and seals use sea   Oceanic and Atmospheric  ocean  changes  are  due  potential to affect plant life
            ing  is  the  latest  indication  ice  to  rest  and  give  birth.   Administration.  “It  kind  of  simply  to  climate  change,  at the bottom of the food
            that  something’s  off-kilter  Villagers use sea ice to hunt   comes down almost like a  said NOAA physical ocean-  web  but  it’s  too  soon  to
            around  the  Bering  Strait,  them. Sea ice is the prima-  little  hockey  stick  shape  ...  ographer  Phyllis  Stabeno,  know.
            the  gateway  from  the  Pa-  ry  habitat  of  polar  bears.   through  the  center  of  the  who has studied the Bering  Of  immediate  concern  is
            cific  Ocean  to  the  Arctic  Algae  that  clings  to  the   southeast Bering Sea.”   Sea for more than 30 years.  whether warmer water will
            Ocean.  Rapid,  profound  bottom  of  sea  ice  blooms    However,  when  Britt  and  The  southern  Bering  Sea  allow  harmful  algae  con-
            changes  tied  to  high  at-  in  spring,  dies  and  sinks,   other  NOAA  researchers  since  2000  has  undergone  taining toxins to stay viable
            mospheric  temperatures,  sending an infusion of food     last year conducted annu-    multi-year  stanzas  of  low  long enough for shellfish to
            a  direct  result  of  climate  to  clams,  snails  and  sea   al fish and ocean condition  and extensive ice, she said.  eat  them  and  pass  toxins
            change,  may  be  reorder-   worms  on  the  ocean  floor   surveys, they got a big sur-  When sea ice in November  to  marine  mammals  and
            ing  the  region’s  physical  — the prey of gray whales,   prise: For the first time in 37  began  forming  as  usual,  people.  Toxins  are  being
            makeup. Ocean research-      walruses   and    bearded    years,  they  found  no  cold  she  expected  a  bounce-  carried to the Arctic, Stock-
            ers  are  asking  themselves  seals.                      pool.                        back  this  winter.  Instead,  well said.
            if  they’re  witnessing  the  Sea  ice  also  affects  com-  Researchers  found  high  warm  winds  in  February  No one has connected the
            transformation  of  an  eco-  mercially valuable fish. Sea   concentrations  of  Pacific  mostly  cleared  the  north-  dots,  said  Britt,  the  NOAA
            system.                      ice historically has created   cod  and  walleye  pollock  ern  Bering  Sea  of  sea  ice  fisheries biologist.
            The  Bering  Sea  last  winter  a  Bering  Sea  “cold  pool,”   in the northern Bering Sea.  through  the  Bering  Strait  “At the moment, nobody’s
            saw  record-low  sea  ice.  an  east-west  barrier of ex-  But  the  species  that  was  into the Chukchi Sea.      sitting with in-hand a com-
            Climate  models  predicted  tremely  cold,  salty  water   supposed to be there, Arc-  “We’re in winter,” she said.  prehensive  research  study
            less  ice,  but  not  this  soon,  at the bottom of the wide,   tic cod, was hardly found.  “This  is  all  supposed  to  be  that  covers  the  birds  and
            said  Seth  Danielson,  a  shallow  continental  shelf.   More  than  half  the  fish  frozen.”                     the  mammals  and  the  fish
            physical   oceanographer  The wall of cold water his-     landed in U.S. waters come  Formation of the cold pool  and the zooplankton all in
                                                                      from the North Pacific, and  is  again  in  doubt.  It  could  one synthesized report,” he
                                                                      most are caught in the Ber-  return  in  the  future,  but  said, adding that it will take
                                                                      ing Sea.                     temperatures  are  trending  researchers  more  time  to
                                                                      Chad See, executive direc-   upward  with  the  rate  of  figure out what’s going on.
                                                                      tor  of  the  Freezer  Longline  greenhouse gases entering  Meantime,  Kotlik  resident
                                                                      Coalition, a trade associa-  the atmosphere.              Keyes  is  researching  cli-
                                                                      tion  of  vessels  that  target  Scientists  say  figuring  out  mate  change  effects  in
                                                                      Pacific  cod  using  baited  the ocean physics is far less  her  coastal  village  of  650
                                                                      lines, said members caught  of  a  challenge  than  pro-  as  project  coordinator  for
                                                                      their  quota  last  year  but  jecting the biological rami-  a  team  working  under  a
                                                                      had to travel farther north.  fications.                  Bureau  of  Indian  Affairs
                                                                      “Does  that  mean  that  the  “We  sort  of  opened  up  program.q
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