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BUSINESS                 Tuesday 8 January 2019
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            Jittery Wall Street has a lot ahead to be nervous about




            By STAN CHOE                                                                                                        technologies,   potentially
            Associated Press                                                                                                    undermining      American
            NEW  YORK  (AP)  —  Wel-                                                                                            technological dominance.
            come  to  the  brave  new                                                                                           According  to  a  March  re-
            world  of  investing,  where                                                                                        port by the U.S. trade rep-
            every day in the stock mar-                                                                                         resentative,  China  hacks
            ket can feel like bedlam.                                                                                           into   American   compa-
            Investors  have  been  ca-                                                                                          nies’  computer  networks
            reening  from  fear  to  relief                                                                                     to  steal  trade  secrets  and
            and  back  again  as  they                                                                                          forces foreign firms to share
            react  to  morsels  of  news                                                                                        technology as the price of
            about  the  health  of  the                                                                                         admission  to  the  Chinese
            economy  and  corporate                                                                                             market. The standoff will be
            profits,  the  global  trade                                                                                        difficult to resolve before a
            war and when the Federal                                                                                            March  1  deadline.  That  is
            Reserve will next raise inter-                                                                                      when U.S. tariffs on $200 bil-
            est rates.                                                                                                          lion in Chinese imports are
            With each mood shift, stock                                                                                         scheduled  to  jump  to  25
            prices  have  swung  wildly.                                                                                        percent  from  10  percent.
            Unusually  big  moves  —                                                                                            Chinese  leaders  have  sig-
            both up and down — have                                                                                             naled  their  willingness  to
            come  at  a  frequency  not                                                                                         address  U.S.  complaints
            seen in years.                                                                                                      about  America’s  massive
            On  Friday,  the  S&P  500  in-  In a Thursday, Jan. 3, 2019 file photo, trader Michael Milano works on the floor of the New York   trade  deficit  with  China
            dex  soared  3.4  percent    Stock Exchange.                                                                        by buying more soybeans,
            following  a  stronger-than-                                                                       Associated Press  natural gas and other U.S.
            expected  U.S.  jobs  report,  acts, or overreacts.”      their  companies’  quarter-  positive in 2019, just slower   products.
            news  of  trade  talks  be-  Expect  the  jitters  to  con-  ly  earnings  are  released.  than  last  year,  much  like   But  they  are  likely  to  resist
            tween  the  United  States  tinue.  Reports  are  coming   Stock  prices  could  swing  the  economy.  He  never-   pressure  from  Washing-
            and China and comments  that will give investors clues    depending  on  what  they  theless  expects  stocks  to   ton to scrap or scale back
            from the Fed seen as help-   about  whether  their  fears   say about how moderating  claw back their recent loss-  technology  policies  they
            ful for stocks.              of a possible recession are   economic growth, U.S.-Chi-  es  and  return  to  a  record   see as vital to China’s future
            It was a sharp reversal from  warranted,  as  well  as  up-  na trade tensions and inter-  by  the  end  of  the  year,   prosperity and strength.q
            just  the  day  before  when  dates on interest rates and   est rates could affect their  though with a lot of volatil-
            investors  saw  the  glass  trade  policy.  Among  the    upcoming results.            ity in between.
            decidedly    half   empty.  approaching      milestones   Apple’s  warning  last  week  — U.S-China trade talks
            On  Thursday,  the  S&P  500  that  could  be  the  next  to   about slow iPhone sales in  A  U.S.  delegation  began
            plunged  2.5  percent  after  roil Wall Street:           China, the world’s second-   talks  in  Beijing  on  Monday
            a  disappointing  U.S.  man-  — Earnings season           largest economy, shocked  aimed at resolving a trade
            ufacturing  report  raised  Starting  next  week,  com-   the  market  and  sent  Ap-  dispute  that  has  alarmed
            fears  about  a  possible  re-  panies  will  begin  report-  ple’s stock down nearly 10  global investors and threat-
            cession and Apple warned  ing  their  profits  for  the  last   percent. On the same day,  ens  to  drag  down  world-
            about weak iPhone sales in  three months of 2018, and     Delta Air Lines fell nearly 9  wide economic growth.
            China. That two-day whip-    expectations are high. An-   percent after it trimmed its  The  world’s  two  biggest
            lash  followed  2018,  a  year  alysts  are  forecasting  11.4   forecast  for  fourth-quarter  economies  are  battling
            when  the  S&P  500  had  20  percent growth for S&P 500   revenue.                    over  U.S.  allegations  that
            days where it swung by at  companies,  which  would       Orlando  said  he  expects  Beijing uses predatory tac-
            least  2  percent,  twice  as  be the fifth straight quarter   earnings growth will remain  tics  to  acquire  advanced
            many  as  any  of  the  prior  of  gains  topping  10  per-
            six  years.  The  market  has  cent,  according  to  Fact-
            gotten  so  topsy-turvy  that  Set.
            when  Friday’s  jobs  report  Those numbers are key be-
            first  came  out,  about  an  cause stock prices tend to
            hour  before  the  New  York  track corporate profits over
            Stock  Exchange  opened,  the  long  term.  But  even
            some  investors  wondered  more  attention  will  likely
            if  it  would  cause  relief  or  be paid to what CEOs say
            panic.  The  numbers  were  about future profits.
            strong,  but  were  they  so  “We’re  going  to  have  a
            strong  as  to  push  the  Fed  nice,   solid   double-digit
            to  raise  rates  faster,  which  number”  for  fourth-quarter
            would be bad for stocks?     earnings  growth,  said  Phil
            “I  did  find  myself  wonder-  Orlando, chief equity mar-
            ing how the market is going  ket strategist at Federated
            to react to this: Are people  Investors.  “I  think  the  mar-
            asking, ‘Is this good?’” said  ket’s bigger concern is how
            Ernie  Cecilia,  chief  invest-  big  the  2019  deceleration
            ment  officer  at  Bryn  Mawr  is.”
            Trust.  “It  just  shows  the  en-  Executives  generally  talk
            vironment we’re in. It’s un-  with  analysts  and  inves-
            certain how the market re-   tors   immediately    after
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