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                                                                        on to high growth path in the coming
                                                                        years.  It is a welcome  development
                                                                        that effect of demonetization, a bad
                                                                        economics, is behind us and a difficult
                                                                        but important tax reform, GST, is taking
           Economic Survey 2017-18                                      firm root.
                                                                          The fact that the economic growth
                  Rings Warning Bells                                   has started looking up from the second
                                                                        half  of  this  financial  year  2017-18,
                                                                        government should take steps address
       The first Economic Survey prepared after Modi Government came to power  challenges of education, employment
       in 2014 said India is in a sweet spot and it can only grow from there on when  and farm  distress as pointed  out by
       other top and emerging economies are faltering  —By  KR  Sudhaman  the  economic  survey  so  that  the
                                                                        government  do  not fritter  away  yet
                                                                        another opportunity to move to a high
       Economic  Survey,  presented  to  ASSESSMENT  OF  THE  ECONOMIC  growth path.
       Parliament ahead of budget every year  SURVEY
                                                                          Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has
       is  seen  as  a  report  card  of  The first economic  survey prepared
                                                                        said that in the last few years, the
       Government’s  performance  on  the  after Modi Government came to power
                                                                        economic survey has become a must
       Indian Economy. This year too it is no  in 2014 said India is in a sweet spot
                                                                        read  and  most  read  document  on
       different but there is one change, its  and it can only grow from there on when
                                                                        Indian Economy… Universities have
       presentation  and  production  has
                                                                        included  it  in  their  syllabuses…  in
       improved for the better.                                         addition  to  the  review  of  the
       IMPORTANCE  OF  ECONOMIC                  In Brief
       SURVEY                                                           Economy,  the  Survey  contains  in-
                                           Economy Survey is seen as   depth analysis, serious research as
       As Economic  Survey is prepared  by
                                             a   report   card   of     well  as  new  policy  ideas.  If  this  is
       economists,  it  is  not  taken  very                            true, Jaitley should set the tone by
                                             Government’s performance
       seriously while preparing the General                            implementing  several  policy  ideas
       Budget,  which  is  prepared  by      on the Indian Economy.     suggested by the survey.
       politicians with the help of bureaucrats.   Politicians see the budget as  Now   that  ill   effects   of
       Politicians  see  the  budget  as  yet  yet another tool to tweak the
                                                                        demonetization  and  GST  are  over,
       another tool to tweak the economy to  economy  to  suit  their   government should move rapidly to fix
       suit  their  constituency  and  win   constituency.              the  economy.  Farm  distress  and
       elections  and  certainly  not  as  an   Effect of demonetization is  sagging rural economy should get the
       instrument to  rapidly  achieve socio-
                                             behind us and GST is taking  much needed informal economy hit by
       economic development of the country.
                                             firm root.                 largely demonetization is kick-started
       Indian  Economy  has  certainly
                                           Macro-economic stability is  so that job creation is boosted. This
       progressed well since independence
                                             critical  for  sustainable  also calls for massive investment  in
       but unfortunately big ticket growth and                          education to improve quality and make
                                             growth.
       development has not happened barring                             it  job-oriented.  So  far  we  have
       when major reforms were initiated in   State  governments  are  achieved quantity in education which
       1991,  compelled  by  the  economic   splurging the huge flow of  had helped in vastly improving literacy
       crisis at that point of time.         money from the Centre.
                                                                        but now the education should be job
          This explains the fact that India has
                                                                        relevant.  Skill  development  in
       missed several buses to get on to high
                                                                        particular should become job-relevant
       growth  path,  that  too  inclusive,  to  other top and emerging economies are
                                                                        and region-relevant. Macro-economic
       rapidly become a developed economy  faltering. Four years down the line, we
                                                                        stability  is  critical  for  sustainable
       with virtually no poverty. Even if 30-40  find that Indian economy had slowed
                                                                        growth that too at a time oil prices and
       per  cent  of  what  had  been  said  in  down and faltering while other faltering
                                                                        other  global  commodity  prices  are
       successive economic surveys had been  economies have started growing faster.
                                                                        rising.  So  government  should  shun
       implemented  every  year,  the  Indian  So apparently there is something
                                                                        from excessive populism in view of the
       economy would have been in a much  wrong with us and something good is
                                                                        general elections next year so that the
       better position. But unfortunately the  happening  to  others.  It is therefore
                                                                        path  of  fiscal  consolidation  and
       budgets had ensured there was only  high time  that the government  took
                                                                        inflation  control  are  not  ignored
       crony socialism or crony capitalism in  Economic Survey seriously  so as  to
                                                                        considering that the Economy is seeing
       the country and not balanced economic  ensure  there  is  some  correlation
                                                                        broad-based revival.
       development for the common good of  between it and the budget so that the
       all.                            economy is put back on track to get           (Contd on page 57)
       March 2018                                                                  Competition  Wizard  55
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