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10                    Coronavirus Immunity & Antibodies






        Everything we know about

         coronavirus immunity and

          antibodies — and plenty

                    we still don’t



                    By Andrew Joseph



        People who think they’ve been exposed to the
        novel coronavirus are clamoring for antibody
        tests — blood screens that can detect who has
        previously been infected and, the hope is, signal
        who is protected from another case of Covid-19.

        But as the tests roll out, some experts are trying
        to inject a bit of restraint into the excitement that
        the results of these tests could, for example,
        clear people to get back to work. Some antibody
        tests have not been validated, they warn. Even
        those that have been can still provide false     “Right now, we have no evidence that the use of think they’re protected from the virus when they
        results.  And an accurate positive test may be   a serologic test can show that an individual is have yet to have an initial infection.
        hard to interpret: the virus is so new that      immune or is protected from reinfection,” the
        researchers cannot say for sure what sort of
                                                         WHO’s Maria Van Kerkhove said at a briefing Serology testing “isn’t a panacea,” said Scott
        results will signal immunity or how long that    last week.                                       Becker, the CEO of the Association of Public
        armor will last.                                                                                  Health Laboratories. “When it’s used, we need

                                                         Below, STAT looks at the looming questions to ensure there are good quality tests used.”
        They caution that policymakers may be making     about antibodies and immunity that scientists are
        sweeping economic and social decisions —
                                                         racing to answer.                                One specific concern with antibody tests for
        plans to reopen businesses or schools, for                                                        SARS-CoV-2: they might pick up antibodies to
        example — based on limited data, assumptions,
                                                         What are antibody tests? How widely              other types of coronaviruses.
        and what’s known about other viruses. President
                                                         available are they? And how accurate?
        Trump last week unveiled a three-phased                                                           Globally, there have only been a few thousand
        approach to reopen the country; he said some                                                      people exposed to the other coronaviruses that
                                                         The tests look for antibodies in the blood.
        states that have seen declining case counts could
                                                         Because antibodies are unique to a particular    have caused outbreak emergencies, SARS and
        start easing social distancing requirements                                                       MERS. But there are four other coronaviruses
                                                         pathogen, their presence is proof the person was
        immediately. And some authorities have raised                                                     that circulate in people and cause roughly a
                                                         infected by the coronavirus and mounted an
        the idea of granting “immunity passports” to                                                      quarter of all common colds. It’s thought that
                                                         immune response. The hope is that the presence
        people who recover from the virus to allow them                                                   just about everyone has antibodies to some
                                                         of the antibodies is an indication that the person
        to return to daily life without restrictions.
                                                         is protected from another infection.             combination of those coronaviruses, so
                                                                                                          serological tests for SARS-CoV-2 would need to
        “Before we embark on huge policy decisions,                                                       be able to differentiate among them.
                                                         These are different from the tests used to
        like issuing immunity certificates to get people
                                                         diagnose active infections, which look for pieces
        back to work, I think it’s good that people are
                                                         of the virus’ genome.                            What can be gleaned from serological
        saying, ‘Hold up, we don’t know that much
                                                                                                          results?
        about immunity to this virus,’” said  Angela
                                                         Commercial antibody tests are starting to appear
        Rasmussen, a Columbia University virologist.
                                                         on the market, but so far, the Food and Drug Detecting antibodies is the first step.
                                                         Administration has only cleared a few through Interpreting what they mean is harder.
        To be clear, most experts do think an initial
                                                         Emergency  Use Authorizations. And  already,
        infection from the coronavirus, called SARS-
                                                         health regulators are warning that the ones on Typically, a virus that causes an acute infection
        CoV-2, will grant people immunity to the virus
                                                         the market may vary in their accuracy.           will prompt the body’s immune system to start
        for some amount of time. That is generally the
                                                                                                          churning out specific antibodies. Even after the
        case with acute infections from other viruses,
                                                         “I am concerned that some of the antibody tests virus is cleared, these “neutralizing” antibodies
        including other coronaviruses.
                                                         that are on the market that haven’t gone through float around, ready to rally a response should
                                                         FDA scientific review may not be as accurate as that virus try to infect again.  The virus might
        With data limited, “sometimes you have to act
                                                         we’d like them to be,” FDA Commissioner infect a few cells, but it can’t really gain a
        on a historical basis,” Anthony Fauci, the head
                                                         Stephen Hahn said on “Meet the Press” earlier toehold before the immune system banishes it.
        of the National Institute of  Allergy and
                                                         this month. He added that “no test is 100% (This is not the case for viruses that cause
        Infectious Diseases, said in a webcast with
                                                         accurate, but what we don’t want are wildly chronic infections, like HIV and, in many cases,
        JAMA this month. “It’s a reasonable assumption
                                                         inaccurate tests.”                               hepatitis C.)
        that this virus is not changing very much. If we
        get infected now and it comes back next
                                                         Even the best tests will generate some false “The infection is basically stopped in its tracks
        February or March we think this person is going
                                                         positives (identifying antibodies that don’t before it can go anywhere,” said Stephen
        to be protected.”
                                                         actually exist) and some false negatives (missing Goldstein, a University of Utah virologist. But,
                                                         antibodies that really are there). Countries Goldstein added, “the durability of that
        Still, the World Health Organization has stressed
                                                         including the U.K. have run into accuracy issues protection varies depending on the virus.”
        that the presumed immunity can only be proven
                                                         with antibody tests, slowing down their efforts
        as scientists study those who have recovered for
                                                         for widespread surveys.                                                 (Continued on Page 11)
        longer periods.  The agency is working on
        guidance for interpreting the results of antibody
                                                         The fear in this case with imprecise tests is that
        tests, also called serologic tests.                                                                THANK YOU FIRST RESPONDERS AND
                                                         false positives could errantly lead people to
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