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INSIDER



          2020 Watch sales in Travel Retail and a look toward the future



              Let’s start with some good news.
          Despite whatever catalytic effects
          the global public health crisis had on
          online purchasing of consumer goods,
          e-commerce only accounted for a relatively
          small percentage of retail sales. According
          to Stats Canada, for 2020, Total U.S.
          retail purchases were $5.6T with 14.1%
          attributed to e-com, and Total Canada retail
          was $606B with 8.1% attributed to e-com.
              What might one infer from that? That
          the “retail apocalypse” is not nearly as bad
          as anyone imagined. That the brick-and-
          mortar retail location is still an important
          point of sale, and cogently, an important
          point of experience.
              So while watch sales in travel retail
          definitely took a shocking blow, it will
          not remain so forever. Granted, cruise
          ships have been laid up, and based upon
          geographic regions, travel bans have
          delimited transit through international
          airports.
              Early bright spots include Hainan
          duty free in China, where most serious
          watch brands are investing, hedging their   can see 2020 sales were affected differently   preowned) platforms, and the wearable
          bets that this destination will be of major   by price segment. The assault on entry   (smart watch) segment.
          importance in helping sales recover from   level Swiss watches by wearables, and   Duty free operators should focus
          2020. According to a report on March   dominated by the Apple Watch, shows no   on best-performing price segments,
          22nd in the Moodie Davitt Report, sales   sign of abating. Duty free operators may   introducing some sort of experiential
          continue to soar in this market. While   want to look at which pricing segment(s)   interaction at the POS, solid value
          this will help, it is not a cure-all for what   deliver their best sales results, and focus   propositions for the traveler, and an
          ails the global watch industry. Let’s look   on those segments, as every cubic foot (or   assortment of current collections, including
          pictorially at some recent figures from the   meter) must deliver KPI results.  novelties. An overwhelming smorgasbord
          FH (Fédération de l’industrie horlogère   In conclusion, we can likely safely   of aged inventory from the COVID period
          Suisse), as reported last month in the online   assume that once travel resumes via air   will likely not generate the sort of sales
          newsletter, Horas y Minutos:      and sea, sales results will steadily climb   results desired, and could reflect negatively
              From the main markets, we can   again, though it may take several years for   on the retailer. This challenge will require
          see that strong sales in China in second   figures to recover to pre-COVID levels,   an investment of capital and clever
          semester 2020 helped bolster sales, making   if they ever do. There continues to be an   planning, strategic alliances with brands,
          the net figure slightly positive. 2021 sales   evolution of competing enterprises that   and a capable sales staff.
          in China, and especially Hainan, continue   include growth of brand-owned boutiques,   Finally, those interested in the
          to help. But looking at the graph below, we   D2C (direct to consumer), CPO (certified   important KPI of sell-out figures should
                                                                               consider the subscription based Mercury
                                                                               Report, which includes data on over 10 key
                                                                               markets, including travel retail. See: www.
                                                                               mercuryproject.ch


                                                                               Mark Lewis-Jones is a member of the
                                                                               Board of Advisors, Watch Trade Academy,
                                                                               Neuchâtel, Switzerland
                                                                               Caribbean / LatAm Representative, Watch
                                                                               Distributors Directory, Switzerland.
                                                                               mark@watch-trade.company





          The Virtual Summit of the Americas Issue April 2021                 18
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