Page 8 - Banking Finance July 2020
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RBI CORNER







         RESERVE BANK



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         Banks to raise Rs 1,50,000         to rise significantly and profits are likely  compression in economic growth-may
                                            to be under pressure in coming     result in higher NPAs and capital ero-
         crore in next 18 months            months, especially after the morato-  sion of banks.

         Banks have lined up to raise a record  rium ends in August. A big amount may  State Bank of India has planned to
         Rs 1,50,000 crore from the capital  be required to make provisioning," said  mobilise around Rs 20,000 crore, while
         market in the next 12-18 months,   an official of a nationalised bank.  Punjab National Bank will raise equity
         against the backdrop of weak capital  Credit Suisse had forecast that banks  capital up to Rs 7,000 crore via share
         cushion and the expected increase in  may need $20 billion in additional capi-  sale to strengthen its balance sheet.
         stress on asset quality and profitability  tal in FY21. Public sector banks (PSBs),  Bank of Baroda's board approved fund
         in the wake of the economic impact of
                                            which earlier estimated a capital re-  raising plans of up to Rs 13,500 crore
         the Covid 19.
                                            quirement of Rs 10,000-20,000 crore  and Canara Bank has planned to raise
         Almost all leading banks have an-  for FY21, have more than doubled their  Rs 6,000-8000 crore in capital. For the
         nounced their plans to raise capital in  capital requirement. The Centre, on  five years between 2015-16 and 2019-
         the last few weeks to beef up their  the other hand, had expected PSBs to  20, the government had infused a to-
         balance sheets and make provisioning.  raise capital from markets and hence  tal of Rs 3.08 lakh crore capital PSBs.
         Banks are at the frontline of being  possibly did not Budget any capital in-  However, this will not be sufficient
         adversely impacted by the COVID-19  fusion for 2020-21.               given the expected spike in non-per-
         pandemic as economic contraction re-                                  forming assets (NPAs).
                                            "With thin capital cushions and ex-
         duced corporate earnings and indi-  pected increase in stress on asset qual-  Private banks have also firmed up plans
         vidual incomes, reducing the capacity  ity and profitability, we expect PSBs to  for capital raising activity of around Rs
         to repay debts.
                                            require Rs 45,000-82,500 crore of capi-  75,000-1,00,000 crore. Three private
         RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das had said  tal even under a scenario of low credit  banks - Yes Bank, Axis Bank and ICICI
         that "building buffers and raising capi-  growth of 3-4 per cent during FY2021.  Bank - have already announced plans
         tal will be crucial not only to ensure  Further, the investor appetite towards  to raise Rs 45,000 crore. While HDFC
         credit flow but also to build resilience  these banks will continue to remain  Bank recently obtained approval to
         in the financial system" in the wake of  weak amid prevailing uncertainties,"  raise Rs 50,000 crore by way of addi-
         the pandemic-induced stress.       said Anil Gupta, sector head-financial  tional tier-1 bonds, it's unclear how
         He also indicated that existing mini-  sector ratings, ICRA Ratings.  much will it raise in FY21.
         mum capital requirements for banks  Das had noted that a recapitalisation  Kotak Mahindra Bank had raised Rs
         may no longer be sufficient enough to  plan for PSBs and private banks has  7,442 crore through a qualified institu-
         absorb likely losses.              become necessary as the economic   tional placement issue. Besides, sev-

         "Banks have raised their capital re-  impact of the pandemic - due to lock-  eral small private banks are also gear-
         quirements as bad loans are expected  down and anticipated post lock-down  ing up to raise funds. More banks are

            8 | 2020 | JULY                                                                | BANKING FINANCE
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