Page 14 - Banking Finance May 2020
P. 14

HOUSING

         for reverse-migrating Indians in   Decentralisation of operations to en-  them avoid revenue shortfall, though
         smaller cities may prove to be challeng-  sure business continuity will be a trend  students may use force majeure as a
         ing."                              reversal from prominent consolidations  reason to claim refunds," said Gaurav
                                            over the past few years.           Karnik, Partner and National Leader -
         Anarock's recent consumer survey,
                                                                               Real Estate, EY India.
         conducted during the lockdown period
         indicated that of the respondents who Rent for student housing
                                                                               A few universities have reached out to
         preferred to invest in Tier-II & -III cit-  facilities may decline
         ies in 2020, 61% are end-users and al-  If Covid 19 crisis continues for long, the  operators asking them to collect fees
         most 55% are aged under 35 years. At                                  on a monthly basis rather than collect-
                                            rent for student housing facilities may  ing a full year in advance to reduce the
         least 47% of respondents are focused
                                            decline by 20 to 25 percent in the next  cash flow impact on parents. Some
         on affordable properties priced within
                                            few months. The sector may also con-  operators are hoping for regulatory
         Rs 45 lakh, followed by 34%, who are
                                            solidate with some smaller operators  intervention that supports rental ex-
         looking for mid-segment homes priced
                                            exiting, resulting in stronger players  emptions for tenants in such scenario.
         between Rs 45 and Rs 90 lakh.
                                            with a sustainable financial and opera-  However, the regulation may also
         The residential segment will see mani-  tional model, a new report has said.  force the operators to pass on the sav-
         fold increase in demand for township  The current situation of COVID-19 has  ings to their students, the report said.
         projects, which offer a controlled en-  resulted in major changes affecting all
         vironment. In terms of supply, township  four stakeholders of this segment- the  The report noted that many operators
         projects have less than 5% overall  colleges/educational institutions, stu-  may lose out on three to four months
         share in the top seven cities as on  dents, asset owners and the student  of revenue due to the delay in com-
         date. Further, market consolidation is  housing providers/managers.   mencement of the academic sessions.
         expected with the increased prefer-                                   Some costs will also increase since
         ence for branded developers. Finan-  In case the spread of COVID-19 contin-  there will be greater pressure on sani-
         cially strong organised players are  ues for a longer time frame, the real  tation and cleanliness. If students de-
         likely to occupy 75%-80% market share  estate prices, or rent for facilities, may  cide to practise social distancing or
         in the coming years, the report said.  undergo decline by 20-25 percent in  operators offer it as a differentiator,

         In office real estate, social distancing  the next few months and operators  they may also see lower occupancy.
         norms may increase the per capita of-  with a longer-term view can look to
         fice space allocations even as a seg-  lock in these rentals, the report by EY  In terms of bed configuration, on an
         ment of employees will work from   has said.                          average, the number of three or more
         home. During the last decade, per                                     bed categories to other categories is
         capita office space allocation reduced  "The B2C model, where most students  45 percent. Assuming a 15-20 percent
         from 100-125 sqft to 75-100 sqft, a  pay monthly, has seen a larger impact.  reduction in capacity, the effective loss
         trend that continued till the pre-Covid-  Students who have left are less likely  in revenue for a 200-bed facility would
         19 period of January 2020. Safety and  to pay their monthly rentals for the  be approximately Rs 15 lakh per an-
         hygiene will become the top priorities,  remaining two months. But most op-  num which results in about 40 percent
         even as contactless operations and  erators have two months of refund-  reduction in margin. A part of this can
         automation      will    increase.  able security deposit which may help  be recouped through higher fees.














            14 | 2020 | MAY                                                                | BANKING FINANCE
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