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climate change and food systems: global assessments and implications for food security and trade
Unsuitable
13-18 °C
18-24 °C
24-35 °C
Unsuitable due to high temperatures
Africa
Asia LAC
Africa
Asia
Total
LAC
Africa
Asia LAC
Africa
22 3
1
7
12
6
9
11 12
14
table 10
Changes in suitability areas (km2) for banana production by major temperature categories due to projected climate change through 2070 for three continents
Current
2030
2050
2070
LAC 3
226 450
109 175
491 675 312 150
630 625
589 450
532 225
675 800
639 025
119 175 406 025
843 075
Asia
LAC 0
Africa 0
Asia 0
2 802 200
47 075
20 256 675 2 502 875
860 000
7 210 925
10 573 800
5 313 650
7 213 200
10 331 425 14 892 450
18 070 025
17 297 875 0
0
0
table 11
-
-
- -
-
-
-
-
-
- +
+
+
2
18 2
6
9
4
5
9 16
20
19
568 425
28 850
891 200 091 125
477 000
838 750
406 875
783 075
519 750
989 500 068 550
164 475
375 850 0
-
-
- -
-
-
-
-
-
- +
+
+
2
17 1
6
8
4
3
9 17
22
21
306 525 -
19 100 -
809 400 - 885 300 -
235 950 -
485 150 -
606 400 -
318 275 -
616 250 -
580 650 - 001 075 +
291 875 +
184 925 + 0
27 125 +
21 650 +
Total
25 827 300
23 105 950
-
21 488 475
-
20 135 025
-
Total
27 434 000
22 858 275
-
20 292 325
-
17 515 175
-
14
059 675
Total
41 308 775
50 260 350
+
55 608 875
+
60 477 875
+
225 +
0
Total
0
0
225
+
48 775
+
Global land area (km2) for category of lands >24°C under different rainfall regimes
Climate category
Current
2030
2050
2070
131
132
231
232
331
332
431
432
16 354 225
3 325
8 055 150
583 850
3 270 050
7 975 475
462 200
4 604 500
20 460 100
5 250
10 132 325
948 275
4 555 150
8 492 200
604 350
5 062 700
23 591 850
4 725
11 109 325
1 019 725
5 441 425
8 354 475
706 675
5 380 675
26 378 825
4 950
12 206 500
1 183 700
6 103 275
8 141 575
803 475
5 655 575
290