Page 312 - Climate Change and Food Systems
P. 312
chapter 10
1. Introduction 294
2. Modelling international trade 295
2.1 Modelling trade in a general equilibrium framework 295
2.2 Modelling trade in a partial equilibrium framework 297
3. Trade in agricultural commodities: Recent trends 298
4. Description of scenarios 299
5. Implications for trade of the “socio-economic and
climatic” scenarios 300
5.1 Agrifood trade in 2050 under scenario S1 301
5.2 Agrifood trade in 2050: A closer look at
model agreement 302
5.3 Key drivers of trade: Degree of model agreement 304
5.4 Production-exports nexus: Degree of model
agreement 308
6. Discussion and conclusions 308
References 309
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