Page 84 - Ecuador's Banana Sector under Climate Change
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ecuador’s banana sector under climate change: an economic and biophysical assessment to promote a sustainable and climate-compatible strategy
Figure 17 Agroclimatic zones, major banana growing areas and selection of six points to represent the different climatic conditions
Source: Authors’ elaboration, based on temperature and precipitation data from WorldClim (Hijmans et al., 2005)
2.2 Projected changes in climate in principal export banana production areas to 2070
Based on this information, the effects of changes in average temperature and annual rainfall were projected for 2030, 2050 and 2070, using data from the CCAFS database portal (Ramírez and Jarvis, 2008) with the same resolution of 5 kilometres (km). Projections assume scenario A235 and the average of 20 general circulation models.
Table 12 shows the likely effect of climate change on the extent of the agroclimatic zones. In general, conditions for banana growth across Ecuador
A2 scenario assumes a heterogeneous world with slow convergence, continued population growth
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and slow per capita economic growth.
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