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TRACK PLENARY

Breast Cancer Foundation, and Minnesota Partnership                  Exponent, then Failure Analysis Associates, Inc., (FaAA) in
Program. He has published extensively in the field of medical         1978, and retired in 2009 where, during his 30+-year tenure,
ultrasound and holds 11 patents in this field. Dr. Fatemi has         he was variously CEO, Chairman, and Chairman Emeritus.
been awarded Fellow membership by these institutions:                Dr. McCarthy has published extensively on vehicle accidents,
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE),            using large scale vehicle accident databases to address
American Institute of Medical and Biological Engineering             questions of automotive design. In 2004, Dr. McCarthy was
(AIMBE), Acoustical Society of America (ASA), and American           elected to the U.S. National Academy of Engineering (NAE)
Institute of Ultrasound in Medicine (AIUM). He is also a             with the citation: “For major contributions to improved vehicle
recipient of the IEEE-UFFC Distinguished Lecturer award for          safety and for methods of quantitative assessment of the
2016–2017.                                                           reliability of complex mechanical systems.” In 1992, then
                                                                     President Bush appointed Dr. McCarthy to a two-year term on
Track 5: Design, Reliability, Safety, and Risk                       the President’s Commission on the National Medal of Science.
                                                                     Dr. McCarthy holds a Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute
5-19-1 DESIGN, RELIABILITY, SAFETY, AND RISK                         of Technology (MIT) in Mechanical Engineering and four other
                                                                     academic degrees. Dr. McCarthy has investigated some of
PLENARY                                                              the major disasters of the current age, most recently the
                                                                     Deepwater Horizon Explosion, Fire, and Oil Spill in the Gulf of
                      Tuesday, November 13, 8:00am–8:45am            Mexico for Secretary of the Interior Salazar. He has appeared
      Room 304, David L. Lawrence Convention Center                  on The History Channel, Myth Busters, Discovery, Modern
                                                                     Marvels, and the National Geographic Channel.
Autonomous Vehicle Safety: Tomorrow’s Rewards versus
Today’s Reality                                                      Track 6: Dynamics, Vibration, and Control
(IMECE2018-90096)
                                                                     6-1-1 DYNAMICS, VIBRATION, AND CONTROL
Roger L. McCarthy
McCarthy Engineering                                                 PLENARY
                                                                                         Tuesday, November 13, 8:00am – 8:45am
Abstract: No vehicle technology has caused more excitement,
investment, than potential vehicle “autonomy” (SAE or NHTSA                Room 303, David L. Lawrence Convention Center
level 4 & 5). Since the “critical pre-crash event” of ~94% of
U.S. traffic accidents is a “driver critical reason(s),” vehicles     Complex Modal Decomposition for Traveling Waves and
driven by a fast-autonomous agent that does not blink, sleep,        Nonsynchronous Oscillations
drink, etc., spawn “predictions” of unprecedented safety             (IMECE2018-90097)
impact. Autonomous vehicle potential to revolutionize western
economies is inestimable. The 8% utilization of current              Brian Feeny
automobiles could increase 10X as autonomous cabs. The vast          Michigan State University
tracts of real estate now dedicated to roadside parking,
driveways, and garages could be reclaimed. Unfortunately, the        Abstract: Characteristic patterns of nonsynchronous
“hype” surrounding all U.S. self-driving vehicles, even though       oscillations and traveling waves can be described in terms
they are using somewhat different technologies, significantly         of complex modes. We extract complex modes from data by
overstates the current capabilities of the technology, and the       using modal decompositions that are generalizations of proper
foreseeable improvements in the next few years, to operate on        orthogonal decomposition. These decomposition methods
normal roads interacting with human drivers. This is apart from      are based on the availability of sampled sensed quantities
having no demonstrated ability in snow or rain. The early            distributed across a structure of interest and may include,
overall crash rates for self-driving prototype vehicles under        for example, displacements, velocities, and/or accelerations.
ideal conditions has been less than promising, even though           An eigenvalue problem produces optimal weighted signal
virtually always the fault of the other driver. Because of these     energy distributions that are interpreted as modes. Basic i
challenges and issues of lability, security, and privacy, the most   deas of three methods are discussed, as is the use of complex
significant active accident prevention will increasingly result       modes and modal coordinates for quantifying features of
from the deployment of automatic “backup” systems that               nonsynchronous and traveling-wave motion. The methods are
monitor the driver, automatically intervene to prevent crashes,      applied to a variety of systems, including structural wave
but don’t actively drive. An example is 99% of new vehicles in       propagation and bio-locomotion.
the U.S. market by 2022 will have an automatic emergency
braking (AEB) system.                                                                      Bio: Brian Feeny is a Professor in the        xxxvii
                                                                                           Department of Mechanical Engineering at
                      Bio: Dr. Roger L. McCarthy is the founder and                        Michigan State University. He received his
                      owner of McCarthy Engineering. Dr. McCarthy                          B.S., M.S., and Ph.D. in Mechanics from the
                      serves on the Board of Shui on Land (SOL),                           University of Wisconsin—Madison (1984),
                      Ltd. (瑞安房地产), which is publicly traded                               the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State
                      (stock code 0272) on the Hong Kong             University (1986), and Cornell University (1990), respectively,
                      Exchange. Dr. McCarthy was formerly            and then held a postdoctoral position at the Institute of
employed by Exponent, Inc. (NASDAQ symbol “EXPO”),                   Robotics, ETH in Zurich, Switzerland. He is a Fellow of the
headquartered in Menlo Park, CA. Dr. McCarthy joined                 American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), for which
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