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TRACK PLENARY

       Model-based simulation is attractive for the reliability analysis    Track 15: Design, Systems And Complexity
       of systems that are too large and complex for full-scale
       testing. However, model-based simulation involves many               15-5-1: DESIGN, SYSTEMS AND COMPLEXITY PLENARY
       approximations and assumptions, and thus confidence in the
       simulation result is an important consideration in risk-informed                           Wednesday, November 8, 8:00am–9:45am
       decision-making. Sources of uncertainty are both aleatory                                            Room 7, Tampa Convention Center
       and epistemic, arising from natural variability, information
       uncertainty, and modeling approximations. The presentation           Non-Conventional Materials in the Future of Aerospace
       will discuss recent advances in the following directions: (1)        (IMECE2017-73551)
       quantifying and aggregating the effects of multiple data
       uncertainty and model uncertainty sources on the reliability         Michael Van Tooren
       assessment of multi-physics, multi-scale systems; (2)                University of South Carolina
       integrating heterogeneous information from multiple sources
       (models, tests, experts) in multiple formats using Bayesian          Abstract: The keynote will present materializing the future of
       networks; and (3) decision support for risk management               aerospace, focusing on non-conventional composites including
       throughout the life cycle of engineered systems. The                 3D printing of carbon fiber reinforced polymer.
       techniques will be illustrated with a number of examples
       from mechanical and aerospace components.                                                  Biography: Michel van Tooren is Professor
                                                                                                  Aerospace Systems Design and Structures at
                             Biography: Professor Sankaran Mahadevan                              the College of Engineering and Computing
                             has thirty years of research and teaching                            (CEC) of the University of South Carolina,
                             experience in reliability and risk analysis,                         SmartState Endowed Chair in the Center for
                             design optimization, structural health                               Multifunctional Materials and Structures, and
                             monitoring, model verification and validation,  Director of the Ronald E. McNAIR Center for Aerospace
                             and uncertainty quantification. His research    Innovation and Research. Michel has a BSc, MSc and PhD
       has been extensively funded by NSF, NASA, FAA, DOE, DOD,             in Aerospace Engineering and joined CEC in September 2013.
       DOT, NIST, General Motors, Chrysler, Union Pacific, American          Before joining USC he worked for Fokker Aerostructures in
       Railroad Association, and Sandia, Idaho, Los Alamos and Oak          the Netherlands as Manager New Concept Development. He
       Ridge National Laboratories. His research contributions are          combined this position in industry with a part-time appointment
       documented in more than 600 publications, including two              at the Faculty of Aerospace Engineering of the Delft University
       textbooks on reliability methods and 250 journal papers. He          of Technology. Prior to that he worked ten years as professor
       has directed 40 Ph.D. dissertations and 24 M.S. theses, and          Systems Integration Aircraft at the same University, building
       has taught many industry short courses on reliability and risk       a group specialized in Aircraft Design, Flight Mechanics and
       analysis methods. He is currently serving as Managing Editor         Multi-disciplinary Design Optimization. This group became
       for the ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty (Part B:           well-known for its work in MDO, Aircraft Design, KBE and
       Mechanical Engineering), and as Associate Editor for three           Truck Aerodynamics. He combined the research activities with
       other journals. His awards include the NASA Next Generation          a position in the management team of the faculty of Aerospace
       Design Tools award (NASA), the SAE Distinguished Probabil-           Engineering as vice dean. All this followed a previous ten years
       istic Methods Educator Award, and best paper awards in the           of research, education and innovation in design of composite
       MORS Journal and the SDM and IMAC conferences. Professor             structures. His research focus at CEC is on design and manu-
       Mahadevan obtained his B.S. from Indian Institute of                 facture of composites structures, especially thermoplastics.
       Technology, Kanpur, M.S. from Rensselaer Polytechnic                 In addition he serves as the Program Director Aerospace
       Institute, Troy, NY, and Ph.D. from Georgia Institute of             Engineering Studies for CEC.
       Technology, Atlanta, GA.

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