Page 62 - FBL AR 2019-20
P. 62

Fermenta Biotech Limited
           Annual Report 2019-20




          Management


          Discussion and Analysis







            Global economic overview         mere 0.9% in 2019 due to trade tensions   the fifth-largest world economy in 2019
            The global economy grew 2.9% in 2019   and slower economic growth.  and jumped 14 places to 63 in the 2020
            compared to 3.6% in 2018, the result of   Indian economic review  World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business
            an increase in trade disputes globally                           ranking. The country climbed 79
            and slowdown of the manufacturing   Indian economy slowed to 4.2% in   positions in five years and was among
            sector, coupled with a global financial   FY 2019-20, compared to 6.1% in FY   the top 10 performers for the third year
            crisis and Brexit. Global trade also grew a   2018-19. However, India emerged as   running.



          Growth of India’s GDP in FY 2019-20
                                              Q1, FY 2019-20   Q2, FY 2019-20  Q3, FY 2019-20  Q4,FY 2019-20
          Real GDP growth (%)                      5.2             4.4              4.1             3.1
          (Source: Economic Times, CSO, Economic Survey, IMF, RBI, Franklin Templeton, PIB)

           Global pharmaceutical industry overview

          The global pharmaceutical market was   to global sales growth was expected to   grow by 3% each year, reaching roughly
          estimated at ~USD 1,437.48 billion in 2018,   rise to almost 35% in 2019. North America   USD 203.9 billion by 2024. As per World
          driven by an improvement of treatment   is expected to account for the leading   Population Prospects by United Nations,
          concepts, the optimisation of medical   market share (45.33%) in 2023, followed by   the worldwide population is likely to cross
          measures, the acceleration of new drug   Asia Pacific with a market share of 24.07%.   9.3 billion by 2050 and around 21% of this
          access, improvement of medical service   Latin America and Middle East and Africa   population is expected to be aged 60 years
          quality and the dynamic adjustment of   (MEA) are expected to remain at 7.53% and   and above.
          medical insurance access.         2.96% in 2023.                    (Source: Asian Times, Global News wire)
          The major developed markets would   This growth is driven by the growing
          remain the dominant contributor; the   and ageing population in key markets.
          emerging markets’ overall contribution   Overall R&D spending is expected to



            Global API industry overview                                      Percentage of API manufacturing
            Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs) are portions of drugs, which are biologically   facilities for all drugs by country or
            active in nature. The APIs have significant use in the manufacturing of effective and   region, August 2019
            safe medicines. The global active pharmaceutical ingredient market stood at USD 182.2
            billion in 2019 on the back of an increasing incidence of chronic diseases coupled with
            a growing importance of generics and an increasing uptake of biopharmaceuticals.
            The API market is classified into two segments, namely prescription drugs and over-
            the-counter (OTC) drugs. According to the FDA, there are a total of 1,079 API facilities
            worldwide that make the 370 drugs on the WHO list, marketed across US. Of these
            1079 facilities, 166 (15%) are in China, 221 (21%) are in the United States, and 687 (64%)
            are spread across rest of the world.
            (Source: Markets and markets, FDA)



                                                                                China 13%    EU 26%    India 18%
                                                                                USA 28%    Canada 2%
                                                                                Rest of the World 13%  (Source: Statista)


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