Page 16 - Green Builder Nov-Dec 2020 Issue
P. 16

A SUSTAINED SURGE?






                   The housing market is proving to be a bright spot in the economy—at least for now. Housing                                      340,000

                   sales are strong, inventory is limited, prices are stable, and mortgage rates remain low.                                       320,000

                                                                                                                                                   300,000
                                                                                                                                                   280,000
                                                                                                                                                 DOLLARS  260,000

                                                                                                                                                   240,000
                                                                                                                                                   220,000

                                                                                                                                                   210,000
                                                                                                                                                   180,000
                                                                                                                                                   160,000





























                  S             OMEHOW, WHILE busi-     result in a “short but sharp” event, with a   COVID or no COVID, people continue to



                                                                                             shop, inventory and interest rates remain
                                                        steep tumble during summer and recovery
                                nesses  large  and  small
                                                        starting in fall. But that projection went
                                                                                             low and home prices continue to rise. “This
                                have  perished  in  this
                                                        out the window with the massive wave of
                                COVID-19  crazy  world,
                                                                                             trend shows that the housing market is as
                                                                                             strong as it was during the housing bubble,”
                                                        new infections to hit the nation (and the
                                the home sales and con-
                                struction industries have
                                                                                             Santarelli says. “We typically see a decline
                                                        world) starting in late October. Questions
                                managed to survive.
                                                                                             market before the end of November. If this
                                                        “swoosh” recovery, it’s likely that there will
                                  But how much longer
                   before they also have to pay the piper?  now abound—rather than a “V,” “W,” or   in demand and a big increase in time on the
                                                                                             trend remains steady in the weeks ahead,
                                                        be waves of recovery, with ebbs and ‘ows,
                     According to numerous experts, not for   until there a reliable and safe vaccine is   that points to a seasonal slowdown, but if
                   a while: three months, six months, even   fully distributed.              the time on market shrinks by a greater
                   a year from now, depending on who you   Not  to  worry,  according  to  Marco   amount, that’s a signal that–2020’s housing
                   talk to. Most economists had originally   Santarelli, CEO of Norada Real Estate   market is going to remain hot even during
                   projected  that  the  coronavirus  would   Investments in Laguna Niguel, California.   holidays.”
                   14  GREEN BUILDER November/December 2020                                               www.greenbuildermedia.com
          12-28, 32-36 GB 1120 State of the Industry.indd   14                                                                 12/10/20   6:49 PM
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