Page 54 - Green Builder Magazine Sept-Oct 2017
P. 54

The Renewable Energy Internet



                   It won’t be long before green power is the No. 1 source for all homes.


                   BY JEREMY RIFKIN
                                                                                      Who Benefits From Batteries?
                   Note: This article is an excerpt from The Third Industrial Revolution
                   Final Report RNE, a combination of narratives and proposals on
                   technology and its use toward green business collaborations.
                               HE BULK OF THE ENERGY we use to heat our homes
                               and run our appliances, power our businesses,
                               drive our vehicles, and operate every part of the
                               global economy will soon be generated at near-zero
                               marginal cost and be nearly free in the coming
                   T decades. That is already the case for several million
                   early adopters in the European Union who have transformed their
                   homes and businesses into micro-power plants to harvest renewable
                   energy onsite. Currently, 32 percent of the electricity powering
                   Germany comes from solar, wind and other renewable energies. By                                              CREDIT: COURTESY OF JEREMY RIFKIN ENTERPRISES/TIR CONSULTING GROUP LLC
                   2030, a minimum of 50 percent of the electricity powering Germany
                   will be generated by renewable energies.
                     The quickening pace of renewable energy deployment is due, in
                   large part, to the plunging cost of solar and wind energy harvesting
                   technologies. The reduction in fixed costs of solar and wind
                   technologies have been on exponential curves for more than 20
                   years, as shown in Figure 1. In 1977, the cost of generating a single
                                                                           Powered up. Batteries offer a dependable backup for more than a
                                                                           dozen groups during times of high energy demand.
                                 Wind cost per kWh (U.S.)
                                                                           watt of solar electricity was $76, and by 2017 the cost is about $0.55
                                                                           per watt. After the fixed costs for the installation of solar and wind
                                                                           are paid back—often in as little as two to eight years—the marginal
                                                                        CREDIT: COURTESY OF JEREMY RIFKIN ENTERPRISES/TIR CONSULTING GROUP LLC
                                                                           cost of the harvested energy is nearly free. Unlike fossil fuels and
                                                                           uranium for nuclear power, in which the commodity itself always
                                                                           costs something, the sun and the wind are free.
                                                                             The impact on society of near-zero marginal cost solar and wind
                                                                           energy is all the more pronounced when we consider the enormous
                                                                           potential of these energy sources. If we could grab hold of one-tenth
                                                                           of one percent of the sun’s energy that reaches Earth, it would give us
                                                                           six times the energy we now use across the global economy. Like solar
                                                                           radiation, wind is ubiquitous and blows everywhere in the world—
                                                                           although its strength and frequency varies. A Stanford University
                                                                           study on global wind capacity concluded that if 20 percent of the
                                                                           world’s available wind was harvested, it would generate seven times
                                                                           more electricity than we currently use to run the entire global economy.
                                                                             At present, the Netherlands is still heavily reliant on conventional
                                                                           fossil fuel energies, particularly natural gas. In fact, in 2012, the
                   Winding down. Over the past three decades, renewable energy
                   deployment has sped up while the cost of solar and wind energy   Netherlands was the largest natural gas producer in the European
                   harvesting technologies had dropped.                    Union, producing 43.2 percent of all the natural gas production.

                   52  GREEN BUILDER  September/October 2017                                            www.greenbuildermedia.com




          52-55 GB 0917 SUS Symposium.indd   52                                                                                10/11/17   5:21 PM
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