Page 35 - World Airnews Magazine October Edition 2020
P. 35

NEWS



































                                   WHAT COMES



                                   AFTER LIFELINES



                                                                                           By Graham Dunn


                                             airlines will also require further funding   retain minimal levels of services during this
                                             solutions as the northern hemisphere   period - it averted the wholesale job cuts a

                ews that Virgin Atlantic has   winter draws on. And the question of   smaller US airline market would require.


        Nsecured court approval for its      how much funding is enough hinges on   But the flip side of having acted quickly is

         planned recapitalisation marks the latest   how quickly and to what extent air travel   that US policymakers are already facing up

         in series of rescue deals that have been   demand recovers.            to what happens next. Because if the hope

         struck to ensure airlines around the world   But these are questions which airlines   was that by the time the CARES act expires

         can stay airborne.                  neither possess a clear answer, nor have   at the end of September there would be


           Some have simply secured protection   many tools to influence.       some semblance of a recovery in air travel,

         from creditors while they re-organise. Oth-  Normal route-development practic-  that is far from evident.
         ers have secured fresh capital – be it from   es around revenue management, price   Data from trade body Airlines for



         private investors or the state – and almost   stimulation or identifying growth markets   America shows that for the week ending

         all have brokered some level of cost-savings   are trumped by travel restrictions - which   30 August, US carrier passenger volumes
         from staff or from aircraft cuts or deferrals.   can make or break a market at a stroke.   remain 70% down on the same week last






         Many have tapped all these.         And these restrictions are guided by the   year. International traffic is down 86%.



           But the stuttering opening up of passenger   evolution of the virus and the states’ ability   Little wonder then that the talk of what

         markets – in which an increasing number of   to contain it, rather than network planners.  comes after the rescue in the US centres


         travel restrictions have clipped the hoped-  In essence airlines and their backers have   around a possible sequel to the first act.

         for pace of a recovery in international air   so far bought themselves breathing space.   A so-called CARES-2 package is being dis-
         travel – begs the question for airlines of   Some have secured more than others. But   cussed in Washington - against a backdrop


         what comes after the initial rescue.  all need to see a confident reopening of   that US passenger airlines are preparing


           In the case of Norwegian, which carried   air markets before they can start to feel   to shed up to 100,000 jobs in the coming
         out its own lifeline restructuring in May   comfortable they have enough to come out   weeks unless there is an extension to the

         to unlock critical state aid, the answer is a   on the other side of the crisis.   financial relief that kept workers employed



         quest for more funding.              So far, that confidence is in short supply.  until now.

           “We have secured cash through the rest   Few countries acted more quickly to pro-  And, in the absence of a transformative


         of this year,” said chief executive Jacob   vide a financial lifeline to its airlines than   medical breakthrough, expect many more
         Schram.                             the USA. Before the end of March the US   airlines, investors and governments to
           “But” he said, ‘’I have been very clear; we   Congress had passed the CARES act, which   face the same challenge before this crisis

         will need more if Covid continues – which   provided airlines with up to (US) $58 billion   is over. Q

         it has done. We will need more financing to   in grants and loans.


         come through the winter.”            While the financial lifeline came with its   Article courtesy:


           It remains to be seen how many other   own caveats - notably requiring airlines to   https://www.flightglobal.com/
                                                   World Airnews | October 2020
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