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expressed in 2005 dollars, however, was less than nominal GDP in 2009 because
Chain-linking is the method of
prices in 2005 were lower than in 2009.
calculating changes in real GDP using
You might have noticed that there is an alternative way to calculate real GDP using
the average between the growth rate
the data in Table 11.1. Why not measure it using the prices of year 2 rather than year 1 calculated using an early base year and
as the base -year prices? This procedure seems equally valid. According to that calcula- the growth rate calculated using a late
tion, real GDP in year 1 at year 2 prices is (2,000 billion × $0.30) + (1,000 billion × $0.70) base year.
= $1,300 billion; real GDP in year 2 at year 2 prices is $1,500 billion, the same as nomi- GDP per capita is GDP divided by the
nal GDP in year 2. So using year 2 prices as the base year, the growth rate of real GDP is size of the population; it is equivalent to
equal to ($1,500 billion − $1,300 billion)/$1,300 billion = 0.154, or 15.4%. This is the average GDP per person. Section 3 Measurement of Economic Performance
slightly higher than the figure we got from the previous calculation, in which year 1
prices were the base -year prices. In that calculation, we found that real GDP increased
by 15%. Neither answer, 15.4% versus 15%, is more “correct” than the other. In reality,
the government economists who put together the U.S. national accounts have adopted
a method to measure the change in real GDP known as chain -linking, which uses the
average between the GDP growth rate calculated using an early base year and the GDP
growth rate calculated using a late base year. As a result, U.S. statistics on real GDP are
always expressed in chained dollars, which splits the difference between using early and
late base years.
What Real GDP Doesn’t Measure
GDP is a measure of a country’s aggregate output. Other things equal, a country with a
larger population will have higher GDP simply because there are more people working.
So if we want to compare GDP across countries but want to eliminate the effect of dif-
ferences in population size, we use the measure GDP per capita—GDP divided by the
size of the population, equivalent to the average GDP per person. Cor res pond ingly, real
GDP per capita is the average real GDP per person.
Real GDP per capita can be a useful measure in some circumstances, such as in a
comparison of labor productivity between two countries. However, despite the fact that
it is a rough measure of the average real output per person, real GDP per capita has well -
known limitations as a measure of a country’s living standards. Every once in a while
economists are accused of believing that growth in real GDP per capita is the only thing
that matters—that is, thinking that increasing real GDP per capita is a goal in itself. In
fact, economists rarely make that mistake; the idea that economists care only about real
GDP per capita is a sort of urban legend. Let’s
take a moment to be clear about why a coun-
try’s real GDP per capita is not a sufficient
measure of human welfare in that country and
why growth in real GDP per capita is not an ap-
propriate policy goal in itself.
Real GDP does not include many of the
things that contribute to happiness, such as
leisure time, volunteerism, housework, and
natural beauty. And real GDP increases with
expenditures on some things that make people
unhappy, including disease, divorce, crime,
and natural disasters.
Real GDP per capita is a measure of an
economy’s average aggregate output per per- istockphoto
son—and so of what it can do. A country with a
high GDP can afford to be healthy, to be well
educated, and in general to have a good quality of life. But there is not a one -to -one
match between real GDP and the quality of life. Real GDP doesn’t address how a coun-
try uses that output to affect living standards, it doesn’t include some sources of well-
being, and it does include some things that are detriments to well-being.
module 11 Interpreting Real Gross Domestic Product 115