Page 2 - KMA Ag Mag 2020
P. 2

KMAland 2020
     2                  Overcoming Current Challenges in the Ag Community


          An Increase of Planting in 2020



                                                                                about 100 million bush-
     By Chip Flory                                                              els from the 425 million
  P                planted                                                      bushels expected to be

     Potential
                                                                                left over at the end of
   acres for 2020 have
   been a market factor                                                         this marketing year.
                                                                                    This scenario would
   since July last year when                                                    make it difficult for
   100-million-corn-acre                                                        2020-crop  corn prices
   predictions flowed from                                                      to average more than
   grain analysts and seed                                                      $3.50, but bean prices
   companies at field days                                                      could average as much
   across the Midwest. The                                                      as $9.50 under this sce-
   expected jump in corn                                                        nario. Move 2 million
   acres from last year’s                                                       acres in this scenario
   89.7 million has been       Many of the acres that   If corn acres in 2020   from corn to soybeans
   scaled back since then,   didn’t get planted last  reach 93 million, odds    in 2020 and corn carry-
   but corn plantings will   year will be planted in  are carryover at the end   over would still increase
   very likely increase from   2020, likely pushing  of the 2020-21 market-     slightly from the current
   2019.                     the combined corn and  ing year will approach      marketing year with
       And so will soybean   bean acre total back up  2.4 billion bushels, up   bean carryover holding
   plantings. Thanks to      to  177  million  to  178  about    half-a-billion  about steady. This re-
   the wettest and slow-     million acres. But that  bushels from the current   vised scenario suggests
   est planting season on    won’t be easy. In mid-   marketing  year.  Bean    a national average on-
   record, the 76.1 mil-     February, about 1.5 mil-  plantings of 85 million   farm cash price similar
   lion acres planted to     lion North Dakota corn  acres – along with a re-   to  USDA’s  projections
   soybeans in 2019 were     acres were  unharvested  covery in exports to lev-  for the current market-
   13 million to 14 million   – those acres are Pre- els seen in the 2017-18    ing year - $3.85 for corn
   below the previous two    vented Plant candidates  marketing year – would    and $8.75 for soybeans.
   years.                    for 2020.                drop bean carryover
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