Page 193 - PERSIAN 4 1890_1899
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p III —REPORT ON THE TRADE AND COMMERCE OF THE CON-
          1 SULAR DISTRICT OF BUSHIRE FOR THE YEAR 1893.


              General remarks.—The general depression from whioh trade in Southern
          Persia suffered so severely during 1892, proved destined unfortunately, despite
          confident anticipations to the contrary, to be prolonged and even intensified
          during the past year. Yet it cannot ho said that the year 1893 opened under
          unfavourable auspices : the wheat harvest of the Persian Gulf littoral was most
          abundant, and the activity which was observed in certain important branches
         of commerce towards the end of 1892 gave reason for hope that a general
          revival of trade was about to he inaugurated. Before many months had
          elapsed, however, it became evident that this hope was not destined to be
          realised. Exchange, which, it was hoped, had in 1892 reached its lowest
         limit, pursued its downward course throughout the year, and with its close
         the Kran bad decreased in value by 15 per cent. Early in the year, more­
          over, reports were received of the appearance in the districts about Shiraz
          of swarms of locusts, which had begun to create havoc among the crops; and
          in June there was added to these misfortunes an outbreak of cholera with
          its attendant dislocation of all commercial transactions.
             Under these adverse conditions, it is not a matter for surprise that trade
          should have suffered severely. Tlie cotton crop, which at the commencement
          of the year gave promise of an excellent yield, was in part destroyed by the
          locusts. Nor were their ravages confined to cotton only, hut were extended
          impartially to cultivation in general. Opium, as is well known, has now be­
          come one of Persia’s most important exports; and the great injury inflicted
          on the crop of 1S93, by the same agency as that which so adversely affected
          the cotton yield, was a severe blow to Persian commerce. The wheat crops
          of the Persian Gulf littoral were so fortunate as to escape the general de­
          struction ; but in the grain-growing districts of Pars, the harvests gave lamen­
          table results. The price of grain at once rose, and the difficulties of the
          situation were aggravated, it is said, by operations aimed at the realisation of
          a profit by buying up and storing grain in anticipation of a further rise of
          price. How far these operations were attended with success is not known,
          hut prices undoubtedly rose and the evils of widespread scarcity ensued.
              In May the threatening attitude of the people, more especially in Shiraz,
          where it was feared they would he driven to acts of violence by their un­
          fortunate condition, led to the imposition of an embargo on the exportation
          of wheat from Bushire—a measure the advantage or efficacy of which is
          open to great doubt Operations in tobacco, moreover, which was formerly
          exported in considerable quantities to Turkey, have, during IS93, been greatly
          restricted owing to the monopoly enjoyed by the Turkish Regie or SocidtS
          du Tombac, to which now belongs the exclusive right of importing foreign
          tobacco into Turkey. Persian tobacco can therefore be only imported in­
          to Turkey through the agents of the Soci4t6, and this trade, which at one
          time was exceedingly lucrative, has greatly declined. An effort has been
          made to counteract this loss by a combination under strong religious sup­
          port, for the purpose of restricting and controlling the production; the
          prospects of success in this attempt can hardly yet be gauged.
              It might naturally he supposed that the decline in the value of the
           Kran, and the distress prevailing in parts of Southern Persia could not fail
           to have a serious effect on the import trade. Such has not been the case,
           iowever, to the extent that might reasonably have been anticipated, and
           *hile the import trade of 1893 cannot be described as entirely satisfactory, the
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