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Scenario Narratives  HACK ATTACK







                  recognized seals of safety and approval proved   with advanced medical treatments and other
                  ineffective when even those seals were hacked.   under-the-radar activities.
                  The positive effects of the mobile and internet
                                                                  Those who couldn’t buy their way out of
                  revolutions were tempered by their increasing
                                                                  chaos — which was most people — retreated
                  fragility as scamming and viruses proliferated,
                                                                  to whatever “safety” they could find. With
                  preventing these networks from achieving the
                                                                  opportunity frozen and global mobility at a
                  reliability required to become the backbone
                                                                  near standstill — no place wanted more people,
                  of developing economies — or a source of
                                                                  especially more poor people — it was often a
                  trustworthy information for anybody.
                                                                  retreat to the familiar: family ties, religious
                  Interestingly, not all of the “hacking” was bad.   beliefs, or even national allegiance. Trust
                  Genetically modified crops (GMOs) and do-it-    was afforded to those who guaranteed safety
                  yourself (DIY) biotech became backyard and      and survival — whether it was a warlord, an
                  garage activities, producing important advances.   evangelical preacher, or a mother. In some
                  In 2017, a network of renegade African scientists   places, the collapse of state capacity led to a
                  who had returned to their home countries after   resurgence of feudalism. In other areas, people
                  working in Western multinationals unveiled      managed to create more resilient communities
                  the first of a range of new GMOs that boosted   operating as isolated micro versions of formerly
                  agricultural productivity on the continent.     large-scale systems. The weakening of national
                                                                  governments also enabled grassroots movements
                  But despite such efforts, the global have/have-
                                                                  to form and grow, creating rays of hope amid
                  not gap grew wider than ever. The very rich still
                                                                  the bleakness. By 2030, the distinction between
                  had the financial means to protect themselves;
                                                                  “developed” and “developing” nations no longer
                  gated communities sprung up from New York
                                                                  seemed particularly descriptive or relevant. •
                  to Lagos, providing safe havens surrounded by                                                        Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development
                  slums. In 2025, it was de rigueur to build not
                  a house but a high-walled fortress, guarded by
                  armed personnel. The wealthy also capitalized on
                  the loose regulatory environment to experiment


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