Page 10 - GIADA-Jan-2018-Final
P. 10

SALES







          3 Ways to Work


          Around and


          Through the


          Used Vehicle


          Donut Hole




          By Dale Pollak


        I’ve been struck by three trends in the  In  many  ways,  these  trends  force  dealers   its merchandising/pricing, isn’t “right”
        current used vehicle market.         to  work  around and  through what might   for the market. Both suggest process
                                             be described as a “donut hole” in today’s   change opportunities. Dealers who
        First, late-model (three years and younger)  market.  Here are  three recommendations   apply these lessons learned are more
        vehicles account for almost 60 percent  I’ve been sharing to help dealers to address   likely to achieve the goal of retailing
        of retail sales, a fact affirmed in the latest  these market conditions:     at least 55 percent of your inventory in
        Used Car Market Report from Edmunds.                                         less than 30 days.
        You can trace this development to the rise   •  Re-assess your inventory strategy.   •  Address Cost to Market creep. I
        of off-lease supply, which many analysts   The best Velocity dealers have been   have written before about the rise of
        expect  to  continue,  albeit  at  a  slower  clip   evaluating whether their inventory   inventory-level Cost to Market metrics
        than recent years.                       allocations for vehicle types (e.g.,   climbing  close  to  90  percent,  leaving
                                                 compact cars, mid-size SUVs, trucks,   only a maximum 10 percent spread for
        Second, the prevalence of late-model     etc.) and cost segments (e.g., <$5,000,   front-end gross profit. Dealers often
        inventory is a bit tricky. Lower-mileage,   $5,000-$10,000,  $10,000-$15,000,  know they should strive to maintain
        near-new used vehicles are facing        etc.) are truly correct and sufficiently   an inventory level Cost to Market ratio
        competition with heavily incentivized new   precise for the current market. In some   of  85 percent,  but the  creep  occurs
        vehicles. As a result, the near-new vehicles   cases, dealers realize they’ve effectively   nonetheless. It’s true that the prevalence
        aren’t selling nearly as fast as similarly   given up on lower-cost vehicles (and   of  near-new  inventory  contributes  to
        aged units with higher miles (e.g., > 50,000   their buyers) as they’ve placed a   the Cost to Market increase. But it’s
        miles).                                  greater priority on higher-cost, late-  also true that these vehicles are the easy
                                                 model inventory. Inevitably, as dealers   pickings and perhaps reflect a lack of
        The Edmunds report affirms this trend,   examine their allocations they find   desire, discipline or interest in finding
        too. It notes, “high levels of lease returns   corrective opportunities to right-  vehicles with more favorable Cost to
        coupled with increasingly stringent mileage   size segments they’ve overlooked,   Market ratios. I also recommend that
        limits will feed an expanding pool of low-  overstocked and understocked.    dealers revisit their reconditioning
        mileage used vehicle inventories that have   •  Examine your inventory age/days   costs, particularly those associated
        proven to have a limited buying audience.”  to sale by segment. This analysis   with outside vendors, to find additional
                                                 can affirm and illuminate inventory   savings to help reduce Cost to Market
        Third, there’s strong demand and interest   strategy  assessment  take-aways.  ratios.
        for older, higher-mileage vehicles, but they   Which vehicle segments are moving
        aren’t nearly as plentiful as the later model   faster or slower than they used to and  The good news is that most forecasts call for
        year inventory. The consumer demand      why? How do the Market Days Supply  a relatively robust used vehicle market in
        for these vehicles isn’t surprising. There’s   and Price to Market metrics compare  the months ahead—a suitable environment
        always strong demand for cheap, reliable   to those of your fastest sellers?  to make the inventory management
        transportation. Indeed, Edmunds notes    Dealers who conduct this analysis  adjustments that help you work more
        that these vehicles are turning faster than   often find one of two factors (and  effectively around and through the donut
        most other used vehicle inventory.       sometimes both) account for slower-  hole in used vehicles. n
                                                 movers—either the vehicle  itself, or
        8  |  GIADA Independent Auto Dealer JANUARY 2018
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