Page 5 - LatAmOil Week 06 2023
P. 5

LatAmOil                                     COMMENTARY                                            LatAmOil


                         This is true because the waiver is the only instru-  The problem is that NGC is not in a position
                         ment protecting potential investors in the gas   to lead the development of Dragon on its own.
                         project from penalties under US sanctions law.   It cannot fund the project without help, and it
                         But it is also true because the waiver outlines the   is also likely to need the expertise, capital and
                         terms under which Trinidad and Tobago can   resources of an international oil company (IOC)
                         negotiate with Venezuela.            with experience in offshore development opera-
                           As of press time, none of the parties involved   tions. NGC cannot meet all of these needs, so the
                         has divulged full details of the exemption   negotiations might slow down considerably if it
                         granted by OFAC. Rowley revealed on January   is the only party across the table from PdVSA.
                         24 that Washington had agreed to waive sanc-  But the two companies never intended to
                         tions penalties on the condition that Port of   develop Dragon on their own. They signed the
                         Spain make certain that no cash payments were   original agreement for the field in 2018 with   If the waiver
                         made to the administration of Venezuelan Pres-  Shell (UK), and they are expecting Shell to
                         ident Nicolas Maduro. He also said that the US   remain on board now that the US government   applies to
                         side had granted a licence with a term of only   has granted the exemption from sanctions. (For
                         two years, rather than the 10 years Trinidad and   its part, Shell appears to have remained keen; a   Trinidadian
                         Tobago had expected.                 company spokesperson described the multi-na-
                           Also on January 26, US Vice President   tional as a potential participant in Dragon under   firms in
                         Kamala Harris, who played a key role in the talks   the OFAC waiver last week.)  general and
                         that swayed OFAC’s decision, said that Trinidad   Accordingly, if the exemption from sanctions
                         and Tobago had also agreed to send some of the   applies to Trinidadian companies more broadly   not just NGC,
                         LNG produced using future production from   (and not just to NGC), then NGC might be able
                         Dragon to other regional markets. These will   to team up with Shell’s local subsidiary for talks   then NGC
                         include Jamaica and the Dominican Republic,   with PdVSA. That might help speed up the pace
                         Harris’ office said in a statement.  of negotiations – and not just because the IOC   might be able
                           Since then, the Trinidad Express newspa-  can compensate for NGC’s shortcomings with   to team up
                         per has reported that OFAC’s licence specifi-  respect to funding and other resources. Instead,
                         cally designates National Gas Co. of Trinidad   it is because Shell’s Trinidadian subsidiary also   with Shell
                         and Tobago Ltd (NGC) as the company that   operates Hibiscus, a gas field that is close to
                         has permission to represent Port of Spain in   Dragon.                    for talks with
                         negotiations on the gas project. However, there   Hibiscus lies on the Trinidadian side of the
                         were hints earlier this week that the exemp-  maritime boundary between the two countries,   PdVSA
                         tion might be somewhat broader than that. On   while Dragon is on the Venezuelan side. Offi-
                         February 6, sources close to the talks between   cials in Port of Spain want to establish a subsea
                         Caracas and Port of Spain told Reuters that the   connection between the two fields so that Ven-
                         waiver authorises companies from Trinidad   ezuelan gas can be transferred to Trinidad and
                         and Tobago to do business with the Venezuelan   Tobago’s transportation system and onshore
                         national oil company (NOC) PdVSA, which is a   processing plants.
                         target of the sanctions regime.        Under these circumstances, having Shell
                                                              involved in the negotiations would probably be
                         Which Trinidadian companies?         a positive thing, at least with respect to keeping
                         If the Trinidad Express is correct and NGC is   up the pace of the talks. But it is still too early to
                         the only company authorised under the waiver   determine whether this will happen. Shell has
                         to negotiate with PdVSA on the Dragon pro-  not yet commented on the matter, and neither
                         ject, the pace of talks between Port of Spain and   have any of the other parties taking parts in the
                         Caracas may slow down considerably.  negotiations. ™


























                                      Young (R) and Rodriguez (L) met in Caracas on February 6 (Photo: Twitter/@delcyrodriguezv)



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