Page 6 - GLNG Week 18 2022
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GLNG                                          COMMENTARY                                               GLNG




       EU softens stance on long-





       term LNG supply deals






       The EU is softening its stance on long-term LNG supply
       deals as it urgently seeks alternatives to Russian gas,




        EUROPE             The European Union’s scramble to wean itself   Among those committing to new long-
                         off Russian gas is driving various changes in the  term LNG purchases is France’s Engie, which
       WHAT:             bloc’s energy policies both in the shorter and  increased the volume and duration involved
       The EU has become more   longer term. One of the changes that is becoming  in its offtake agreement with the US’ Cheniere
       open to new long-term   increasingly apparent is a new openness in the  Energy. The French company is now set to by
       supply deals for LNG,   EU to long-term deals to purchase LNG from the  900,000 tonnes per year of LNG from Cheniere
       especially from the US.  US and other non-Russian sellers.  over a 20-year period, up from 0.4-1.2mn tpy
                           This represents a policy shift, as the EU had  over an 11-year period under the initial sale
       WHY:              previously been resistant to locking in new fossil  and purchase agreement (SPA) between the two
       The war in Ukraine   fuel supplies for years to come at the same time  companies.
       has made phasing out   as it was trying to accelerate its decarbonisation   This week, Engie also struck a new SPA with
       Russian gas one of the   efforts. The war in Ukraine has by no means  the US’ NextDecade. This deal is notable because
       bloc’s top priorities.  dampened the appetite for decarbonisation  Engie had previously pulled out of talks with
                         – indeed the EU and others have argued that  NextDecade in 2020 over environmental con-
       WHAT NEXT:        increased renewable capacity would also help  cerns, and reportedly under pressure from the
       It will ultimately be down   to reduce dependence on oil and gas from Rus-  French government. France’s concerns centred
       to companies to sign   sia. However, current events are prompting the  on the use of hydraulic fracturing to produce
       offtake agreements, but   bloc to take a more flexible approach to sourcing  the shale gas used as feedstock for US LNG even
       they will encounter less   energy, at least in the shorter term, by making  as the technique has been banned in France for
       political resistance.  reducing dependence on Russia the immediate  11 years. But the fact that Engie had struck its
                         goal, ahead of the phasing out of fossil fuels.  original deal with Cheniere last year – before the
                           A similar shift can be seen in the US, where  war in Ukraine bolstered Europe’s appetite for
                         the administration of US President Joe Biden  US LNG – illustrates that environmental con-
                         took office last year pledging to focus on the  cerns have increasingly been edged out by rising
                         energy transition but is now committed to sup-  energy demand.
                         plying as much LNG as it can to Europe over   Other buyers committing to more US LNG
                         the coming decade. In late March, the Biden  include Shell, which signed a new deal in March
                         administration announced that it would work  for an additional 2mn tpy of the super-chilled
                         with international partners to deliver at least an  fuel from Venture Global LNG. This is in addi-
                         additional 15bn cubic metres to the EU this year.  tion to the 2mn tpy that Shell is already buying
                         Deliveries to the bloc would then be ramped up  from Venture Global, which brought its first
                         over the coming years, with the goal of supply-  LNG export terminal on the US Gulf Coast into
                         ing an additional 50 bcm of US LNG per year  service this year and is working towards a final
                         by 2030.                             investment decision (FID) on a second plant
                           Reaching this goal will be contingent on  nearby.
                         buyers and sellers striking the requisite offtake
                         agreements and building the necessary infra-  What next?
                         structure. But where such moves were previ-  Presenting US LNG as an attractive alterna-
                         ously at greater risk of running into resistance  tive to Russian pipeline gas was something the
                         from governments, they are now more likely to  administration of former US President Donald
                         proceed with political support.      Trump had pursued, with limited success. Some
                                                              European buyers, including Poland’s PGNiG,
                           Doing deals                        did sign offtake agreements with US LNG pro-
                           Since Russia invaded Ukraine in late Febru-  ducers in the days of the Trump administra-
                         ary, triggering severe sanctions against Moscow  tion, which left office at the start of 2021, but
                         and prompting European countries to rethink  others remained resistant, focusing instead on
                         their dependence on Russian energy imports,  renewables.
                         several Europe-based companies have moved to   In the wake of the war in Ukraine, though,
                         seek new LNG supplies.               energy transition goals are being viewed



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