Page 6 - MEOG Week 41 2021
P. 6

MEOG                                   PRICES & PERFORMANCE                                            MEOG


       OPEC+ output up




       but still well short




        OPEC+            OIL production among members of the OPEC+  addition of 400,000 bpd of oil to November. In a
                         group increased by 470,000 barrels per day dur-  press release to accompany the announcement,
                         ing September, according to a survey by S&P  OPEC said that the group “reaffirmed the deci-
                         Global Platts, but output remains more than  sion of the 10th OPEC and non-OPEC Min-
                         500,000 bpd below combined quotas.   isterial Meeting on 12 April 2020 and further
                           The survey showed that production among  endorsed in subsequent meetings including the
                         OPEC members was 27.29mn bpd, 320,000 bpd  19th OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting
                         higher than in August with the nine non-OPEC  on the 18 July 2021.”
                         countries having produced 13.44mn bpd, up   It added that during the October 4 meeting,
                         150,000 bpd from a month earlier. This leaves  OPEC had “reiterated the critical importance of
                         combined OPEC+ production 570,000 bpd  adhering to full conformity and to the compen-
                         under quota.                         sation mechanism taking advantage of the exten-
                           The largest increases came from Kazakhstan  sion of the compensation period until the end of
                         (110,000 bpd), Russia (90,000 bpd), Saudi Arabia  December 2021.”
                         (also 90,000 bpd) and Iraq (80,000 bpd); how-  This marks the latest effort to bring in line
                         ever, most OPEC+ members have struggled to  producers that have failed to comply with output
                         increase output following prolonged periods of  quotas. Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Bahrain, Gabon
                         underinvestment, with output well below levels  and South Sudan have all exceeded their quotas
                         anticipated.                         to varying extents in recent months, with the two
                           The largest OPEC underperformer was Nige-  Middle Eastern nations having been regularly
                         ria, which fell 224,000 bpd short of its quota with  guilty of overproduction in recent years.
                         pipeline damage having an impact on exports,   The statement noted that “compensation
                         while Malaysia was the largest non-OPEC mem-  plans should be submitted in accordance with
                         ber underperformer, with output reportedly  the statement of the 15th OPEC and non-OPEC
                         down owing to difficulties at an offshore facility.  Ministerial Meeting”.
                           The update follows the announcement last   The next meeting is scheduled to take place
                         week that the group would stick with its planned  on November 4.™
                                               Targets (mbpd)              Baseline (mbpd)
                                         October 2021 November 2021  Until end May 2022 May 2022 onwards
                           OPEC
                           Algeria             0.942         0.952           1.057          1.057
                           Angola              1.363         1.377           1.528          1.528
                           Congo (Brazzaville)  0.29         0.293           0.325
                           Equatorial Guinea   0.114         0.115           0.127
                           Gabon               0.166         0.168           0.187
                           Iran                                            Exempt         Exempt
                           Iraq                4.149         4.193           4.653          4.803
                           Kuwait              2.505         2.532           2.809          2.959
                           Libya                                           Exempt         Exempt
                           Nigeria             1.631         1.649           1.829          1.829
                           Saudi Arabia        9.809         9.913          11.000         11.500
                           UAE                 2.825         2.855           3.168          3.500
                           Venezuela                                       Exempt         Exempt
                           Total               23.794       24.047          26.683         27.176

                           Non-OPEC
                           Azerbaijan           0.64         0.647           0.718          0.718
                           Bahrain             0.183         0.185           0.205          0.205
                           Brunei              0.091         0.092           0.102          0.102
                           Kazakhstan          1.524          1.54           1.709          1.709
                           Malaysia            0.531         0.537           0.595          0.595
                           Mexico              1.753         1.753         Exempt         Exempt
                           Oman                0.787         0.796           0.883          0.883
                           Russia              9.809         9.913          11.000         11.500
                           Sudan               0.067         0.068           0.075          0.075
                           South Sudan         0.116         0.117           0.130          0.130
                           Total               15.501       15.648          15.417         15.917

       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                        Week 41   13•October•2021
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