Page 5 - EurOil Week 21 2022
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EurOil                                       COMMENTARY                                               EurOil







































                         her Twitter account trumpeting that Washing-  crude oil markets.
                         ton had authorised US and European compa-  US miscalculations
                         nies to “negotiate and restart operations” in her  Unfortunately, though, they may also indicate
                         country.)                            that the Biden administration does not have a
                           Meanwhile, reports of a possible softening  very deep understanding of world crude oil mar-
                         in the sanctions regime have drawn a frosty  kets – or at least, to give those involved the bene-
                         response from some US politicians. For exam-  fit of the doubt, is not bothering to communicate
                         ple, Bob Menendez, the New Jersey Democrat  its understanding and intentions very clearly.
                         who serves as chairman of the Senate Foreign   One of the more interesting statements
                         Relations Committee, issued a statement last  made by Bloomberg source last week was that
                         week criticising the idea of taking Malpi-  Washington was taking this step partly because
                         ca-Flores off the list of sanctioned individuals.  it wanted Eni and Repsol, the only two foreign
                         Any plan that relies on giving Maduro “a hand-  companies still operating in Venezuela, to be able
                         ful of undeserved handouts” in the hope that  to deliver more crude to the European market.
                         he will negotiate with his political opponents  With that barrier lifted, the source said, Europe
                         “is a strategy destined to fail,” the statement  should have an easier time covering demand and
                         declared                             overcoming the supply disruptions resulting
                           Menendez later reiterated this sentiment, tell-  from the interruptions in Russian crude deliv-
                         ing reporters: “Removing Flores from the list of  eries, he said.
                         sanctioned people is obviously a gift to Maduro.”  According to Bloomberg’s report, this assis-
                           For his part, John Barrasso, the top-ranking  tance for Europe may come at the expense of
                         Republican on the Senate Energy and Natural  other parties. One of the multiple sources cited
                         Resources Committee, said he did not want  by the news agency said that Eni and Repsol were
                         to see the US government striking deals with  working with US authorities to divert cargoes
                         authoritarian regimes such as the one headed  of Venezuelan crude heading for China to the
                         by Maduro. He also urged Washington to make  European market.
                         the US oil and gas industry a higher priority than
                         PdVSA. “Our experience buying Russian energy  What can Venezuela do?
                         should have taught President Biden that buying  It’s not clear how much impact such moves
                         energy from tyrants is a dangerous proposition  are expected to have – or, indeed, what kind of
                         ... Funding despots isn’t in the national interest;  impact.
                         supporting American energy is,” he said in a   Prior to the invasion of Ukraine in late Febru-
                         statement.                           ary, European countries were importing around
                           As of press time, the Biden administration has  2.3mn barrels per day of crude from Russia, and
                         not made any official statements about its stance  delivery volumes were reported to be down by
                         on Venezuela. However, the events reported  about 20% as of mid-April. That would put them
                         above appear to signal that there is a US policy  at around 1.84mn bpd – and that’s a figure that
                         shift in the works. Moreover, they also seem to  Venezuela has no hope of matching any time
                         indicate that one of the considerations driving  soon.
                         this shift is Washington’s desire to stabilise world   The South American country is currently



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