Page 5 - AsiaElec Week 01 2023
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AsiaElec                                     COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec




















































                         producers, there is no sign of surging investment  from existing coal consumption plants in power
                         in export-driven coal projects.      and industry alone will easily tip the world over
                           Governments, banks and investors – as well  the 1.5°C limit.
                         as mining companies – continue to show, in   The IEA’s Coal in Net Zero Transitions report,
                         general, a lack of appetite for investment in coal,  which was launched at COP27, said that that
                         particularly thermal coal.           the overwhelming majority of current global
                           Coal demand is forecast to fall in advanced  coal consumption occurs in countries that have
                         economies in the coming years as renewables  pledged to achieve net-zero emissions. He also
                         increasingly displace it for electricity genera-  warned that coal had stubbornly refused to
                         tion. However, emerging and developing econ-  decline in recent years.
                         omies in Asia are set to increase coal use to help   Crucially, the report said that global coal use
                         power their economic growth, even as they add  was heavily concentrated in a relatively small
                         more renewables. Developments in China, the  number of countries, such as China, the US and
                         world’s largest coal consumer, will have the big-  South Africa, where the fuel plays important
                         gest impact on global coal demand in the coming  roles in the economy, local development and
                         years, but India will also be significant.  energy systems.
                           Coal used in electricity generation, the larg-  Yet despite coal’s resilience as a source of
                         est consuming sector, grew by just over 2% in  energy, the IEA said in a separate report in
                         2022. By contrast, coal consumption in industry  November 2022 that solar was set to overtake
                         declined by over 1%, mainly driven by falling  coal as the world’s leading source of power sup-
                         iron and steel production amid the economic  ply by early 2025.
                         crisis.                                Renewable energy growth was now being tur-
                                                              bocharged and would double over the next five
                         Climate threat                       years as a direct result of governments seeking
                         The persistence of coal is a major threat to the  to strengthen energy security during the current
                         climate, with Fatih Birol, executive director of  energy crisis, the IEA said.
                         the IEA, warning COP27 in November 2022 that   The key issue was that the war in Ukraine and
                         reducing coal consumption was the central chal-  the wider gas price crisis had kick-started renew-
                         lenge to achieving the world’s climate targets.  ables expansion, and forced governments to put
                           He warned that if nothing is done, emissions  greater focus on renewables.™



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