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MEOG                                          COMMENTARY                                               MEOG




       TotalEnergies takes first





       stake in Qatar’s NFE JV






       The French company has been awarded a minority stake in
       Qatar’s flagship LNG project, but for Doha, there’s more to come.




        QATAR            SUPER-MAJOR TotalEnergies was unveiled  and ExxonMobil; Italy’s Eni and Shell of the UK.
                         this week as Qatar’s main IOC partner in a joint   Al Kaabi has said previously that IOC part-
                         venture (JV) formed to support the development  ners could provide up to 30% of the funding for
       WHAT:             of its North Field East LNG expansion project.  the $28.75bn project, with TotalEnergies tabbed
       TotalEnergies picked up   QatarEnergy awarded the French firm a 25%  to furnish $7.2bn. He added that another partner
       a 25% stake in a JV that   stake in the NFE JV, which will hold a quarter  would be announced later in the week.
       will hold a 25% share in   share in the development, giving TotalEnergies a   Given ExxonMobil’s presence in five of
       North Field East.  6.25% equity, with the agreement running until  Qatar’s eight pre-existing LNG JVs, the US
                         2054.                                super-major is expected to take a share of around
       WHY:                                                   10% in the project. Meanwhile, Al Kaabi said that
       As with other LNG   Project                            QatarEnergy would take a final investment deci-
       developments,     NFE comprises the drilling of 80 wells, instal-  sion (FID) on the next expansion phase – North
       QatarEnergy is involving   lation of eight offshore platforms, gas pipelines  Field South (NFS) – by the end of the year. This
       IOCs in financing the   and four 8mn tonne per year LNG trains, which  is seen increasing liquefaction capacity to 126mn
       project, but in this case,   will raise Qatar’s liquefaction capacity from the  tpy by 2027.
       it appears their stake will   current level of 77mn tpy to 110mn tpy by 2027,
       be even smaller.  according to TotalEnergies.          Question marks
                           QatarEnergy said first LNG cargoes from the  While the deal is a clear ‘win’ for TotalEnergies,
       WHAT NEXT:        latest phase are anticipated by the end of 2025,  the statements accompanying it left room for
       Another partner is set   but the Qatari NOC did not provide an update  confusion in terms of the partner(s’) right to
       to be announced, with   for the output expansion. The 2027 date would  offtake from NFE and whether it relates to the
       sources suggesting it will   represent a one-year delay compared to previous  full project or just one train.
       be ExxonMobil.    guidance from Doha.                    NewsBase spoke to several deal watchers
                           Energy Minister and President and CEO  who said that unlike a number of QatarEnergy’s
                         of QatarEnergy HE Saad bin Sherida Al Kaabi  other LNG JVs, the NFE special purpose vehicle
                         called the signing an “historic landmark for  (SPV) covers IOC investment in the full project.
                         Qatar’s energy industry”.            This means that the Qatari firm will retain a 75%
                           Laurent  Vivier, TotalEnergies’  SVP  for  direct shareholding in the NFE project with a
                         MENA E&P, said via social media: “NFE is an  further stake – at least 60-65% according to Ian
                         exemplary low-carbon project, resilient across  Simm, Principal Advisor at IGM Energy – in the
                         price cycles, well positioned to supply Asian but  NFE JV. This ensures it will retain the rights to at
                         also European customers, building on the long  least 90% of the expansion phase’s output.
                         expertise of Qatar.” Wood Mackenzie anticipates   Even then, it is unclear as to whether TotalEn-
                         a long-term breakeven price of $4 per mmBtu  ergies and any other potential partner will have
                         for NFE.                             marketing or offtake rights or obligations, as was
                           TotalEnergies was one of six IOCs involved  the case in the previous JVs. Several sources sug-
                         in a bidding process that kicked off in 2019. Bids  gested that partners are likely to market part of
                         are understood to have also been submitted in  the volume from NFE, but there are likely to be
                         May 2021 by US firms Chevron, ConocoPhillips  geographic and pricing restrictions attached.

                                                      QatarEnergy LNV JVs
       Train    Qatargas 1 Qatargas 2 Train 4  Qatargas 2 Train 5  Qatargas 3  Qatargas 4  Ras Laffan 1  Ras Laffan 2  Ras Laffan 3  NFE (2027)  NFS (2027)
       QatarEnergy %  100%  70%      65%        68.50%    70%      63%          67%        70%        75%     100%
       Partner 1       ExxonMobil (30%)  ExxonMobil (18.3%)  ConocoPhillips (30%)  Shell (30%)  ExxonMobil (25%)  ExxonMobil (31%)  ExxonMobil (30%)  TotalEnergies (25%)
       Partner 2                 TotalEnergies (16.7%)  Mitsui (1.5)  Korea Ras Laffan (5%)  OPIC Middle East (2%)
       Partner 3                                                  Itochu (4%)
       Partner 4                                                 LNG Japan (3%)
       Capacity (mmtpa)  9.9  7.8    7.8         7.8       7.8      6.6         14.1       15.6       32       16
                                                                           Total           77.4      109.4    125.4




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