Page 9 - MEOG Week 24 2022
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MEOG                                     POLICY & SECURITY                                            MEOG


       Iraq threatens Kurdistan




       IOCs, ends KRG payments






        IRAQ             THE Iraqi Ministry of Oil (MoO) this week  based in Erbil, and inferred it would be a subsid-
                         outlined the terms of its threat to blacklist IOCs  iary of the recently reconstituted INOC.
                         operating in the semi-autonomous Kurdistan
                         region, while Baghdad has said its monthly pay-  Finance
                         ments to Erbil will stop.            Relations between Baghdad and Erbil have
                           IOCs developing oil and gas fields under  shown signs of improvement, but last week,
                         direct contracts with the Kurdistan Regional  Iraqi Finance Minister Ali Allawi said that the
                         Government (KRG) received a letter from Has-  central government would put a halt to monthly
                         san Muhammad Hassan, director general of  payments in lieu of the KRG’s share of a budget
                         Basra Oil Co. (BOC), a subsidiary of the Iraqi  under a deal that was never formalised.
                         National Oil Co. (INOC), telling them to cease   He said that while Baghdad has been main-
                         activities in the region and terminate their pro-  taining monthly payments of IQD200bn
                         duction-sharing agreements (PSAs). According  ($138mn) – the latest coming in May – these will
                         to documents seen by Iraq Oil Report, Hassan  not continue.
                         said that these companies have been given 90   These comments are at odds with a statement
                         days to comply and must pledge not to work in  made last week by Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa
                         the Kurdistan region.                Al-Kadhimi, who said that 90% of the outstand-
                           Perhaps unsurprisingly, none of the incum-  ing issues between Baghdad and the KRG had
                         bent operators have put their heads above the  been resolved.
                         parapet to comment, however, the share prices   “The remaining 10% of the problems will be
                         of IOCs including DNO, Genel Energy and Gulf  solved soon […] What is needed now is for the
                         Keystone Petroleum have fallen by 8-9% in the  federal government and the KRG to sit together
                         last week or so.                     to build trust and goodwill and search for solu-
                           News of the ultimatum follows the February  tions,” he said.
                         ruling by Iraq’s Supreme Court that the KRG   Both officials’ comments came just days
                         should deliver the “entire production of oilfields  before Shi’ite cleric Moqtada Al-Sadr, whose
                         in Kurdistan” to the state oil marketer Somo. It  Sadrist Party won the most seats in October’s
                         added that all the KRG’s contracts with interna-  election (73), requested a mass resignation. The
                         tional oil companies (IOCs) and foreign govern-  move appears to be an attempt to force a break-
                         ments covering exploration, production, exports  through after eight months of deadlock.
                         and sales were invalid and that details should be   Despite emerging as the winner, Sadr has
                         provided to the MoO in Baghdad for auditing.  been frustrated in his efforts to form a govern-
                           The latest figures from Somo show that Kurd-  ment. In late March, he launched a new parlia-
                         ish oil output averaged 460,000 barrels per day  mentary bloc as he sought to secure a coalition
                         during May.                          with groups unified by their desire to reduce
                           The region routinely exports around  Iranian influence.
                         360,000-370,000 bpd of crude independently   However, ballots intended to be held in Feb-
                         from Baghdad using a pipeline which links to  ruary and then March could not proceed because
                         the Turkish section of the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipe-  MPs failed to turn up in sufficient numbers.
                         line via metering stations at the border town of   Meanwhile, Ali Moussawi, a former Shi’ite
                         Fishkhabour.                         lawmaker and a political researcher at Baghdad
                           Independent oil sales have been a major issue  University, was quoted by Reuters as saying:
                         for relations between Baghdad and Erbil and  “Sadr reached to the point that he accepted the
                         have proved thorny enough an issue to prevent  bitter reality that it’s nearly impossible to form
                         billions of dollars in budget share being trans-  a government away from the Iranian-backed
                         ferred to the latter.                groups.”
                           In March, the MoO sent a letter to the KRG   The current caretaker government contin-
                         informing Erbil of its intention to set up a new  ues to hold office, but its powers are limited and
                         state oil firm to manage the Kurdish energy sec-  until a new government is formed, it is unlikely
                         tor, to which all oil and gas activities must be  that there will be much progress towards a new
                         transferred.                         budget nor a breakthrough on the thorny issue
                           The ministry suggested that the new firm  of Kurdish oil. For now, it seems the IOCs oper-
                         should be called Kurdistan Oil Co. (KOC) and  ating there will seek to remain under the radar.™








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