Page 4 - MEOG Week 12 2022
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MEOG                                          COMMENTARY                                               MEOG




       Aramco reaps rewards





       of oil price gains






       Saudi Aramco has announced bumper results for 2021
       and plans to increase spending to hike oil production.




        SAUDI ARABIA     STATE-BACKED Saudi Aramco this week  increment projects – a raft of major oilfield
                         posted its full-year results for 2021, registering  developments aimed at maintaining oil produc-
                         a 124% increase in net income on the back of an  tion capacity.
       WHAT:             almost $30 rise in the average realised price per   The ‘Ain Dar and Fazran reservoirs in the
       Aramco rode a wave of   barrel of Brent compared to the year before.  supergiant Ghawar oilfield were tied-in to pro-
       buoyant oil prices to   On March 20, the company announced that  vide an additional 175,000 bpd of combined pro-
       report massive increases   net income had risen to $110bn, compared  duction capacity. Meanwhile, work continues on
       in income despite   with $49bn in 2020, reflecting “higher crude  the Berri, Dammam, Khurais, Marjan and Zuluf
       production remaining   oil prices, stronger refining and chemicals mar-  increments, which will add a further 1.3mn bpd
       largely unchanged.  gins, and the consolidation of SABIC’s full-year  between now and 2026.
                         results”.                              Total liquids production – comprising 9.2mn
       WHY:                The impact of price on the company’s per-  bpd of oil, 175,000 bpd of condensate, 200,000
       The company spoke of   formance is particularly clear given that total  bpd of natural gasoline, 291,000 bpd of butane
       maintaining its oil market   hydrocarbon production fell by 100,000 barrels  and 474,000 bpd of propane – sat at 10.36mn bpd
       pre-eminence and with a   of oil equivalent per day to 12.3mn boepd, with  for the year. Crude oil exports comprised 6.3mn
       performance like this, few   crude oil output remaining flat at 9.2mn bar-  bpd.
       would bet against it.  rels per day, suggesting that the company held   Buoyed by the achievement of a single-day
                         around 2.8mn bpd of spare capacity during the  gas output record of 10.8bn cubic feet (306mn
       WHAT NEXT:        year.                                cubic metres), natural gas production rose by
       Feeling bullish, it has                                1.9% to 9.2 bcf (261 mcm) per day with ethane
       set a guidance of $40-  Performance                    down 1.7% to 934 mmcf (26 mcm) per day. Pro-
       50bn for 2022 capital   Free cash flow increased similarly from $49.1bn  gress was made on projects at the Haradh and
       expenditure as it works   to $107.5bn, while Aramco said it had priori-  Hawiyah gas fields under the Haradh gas incre-
       to expand its oil and gas   tised strengthening its balance sheet, reducing  ment and these are expected to add additional
       production capabilities   its gearing ratio by 8.8% to 14.2%.  raw gas production capacity by the end of the
       as well as investing in the   Despite cash flow concerns in 2020 that saw  year.
       downstream.       the company tap international markets for bil-  Meanwhile, a gas storage project at the Haw-
                         lions of dollars – including a $6bn, sharia-com-  iyah Unayzah reservoir is nearing the final
                         pliant Sukuk during Q2 2021 – the company has  engineering design phase, with the project seen
                         continued to live up to its promised $75bn per  providing up to 2 bcf (57 mcm) per day of gas
                         year dividend payment, with its latest $18.75bn  for reintroduction to the Master Gas System by
                         instalment to be paid during this quarter.  2024.
                           Meanwhile, its board of directors also rec-  Capital expenditure rose by 18% to $31.9bn
                         ommended that $4bn of “retained earnings”  as it continued to focus on the increasing its
                         be capitalised and bonus shares distributed to  upstream capabilities, highlighting its efforts
                         shareholders, in addition to the dividend.   in developmental drilling, the start of work on
                           Aramco did little to quell rumours of a poten-  the unconventional Jafurah gas field and the
                         tial dividend increase, noting that it “aims to  construction of the Tanajib Gas Plant. The 2020
                         maintain a sustainable and progressive dividend,  capital programme was reduced by at least $12bn
                         in line with future prospects, underlying growth  in June that year in response to the outbreak of
                         in free cash flow, and long-term value creation  coronavirus (COVID-19) and the Brent price
                         through investments in available opportunities.”  going into freefall.
                         A day later it held a webcast, adding more col-  One of the key highlights of the year was what
                         our to the figures and noting that dividends and  Aramco described as “progress in its portfolio
                         shareholder value were likely to increase with-  optimisation programme” – an effort to emu-
                         out providing detail on what would trigger such  late (and perhaps surpass) the success regional
                         a move.                              rival Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC)
                           Achievements in the upstream were high-  has enjoyed by allowing international investors
                         lighted by progress on the so-called crude  to lease stakes in key infrastructure assets while



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