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AfrOil                                        COMMENTARY                                               AfrOil

















































       Angola emphasises exploration






       Luanda wants oil production levels to remain at or above 1mn bpd until 2040

       – and it will have to expand exploration activity in order to achieve this aim



                         ANGOLA is heavily dependent on petroleum   a brief overview.
                         revenues, so 2020 has been a difficult year thus
       WHAT:             far. Thanks to the coronavirus (COVID-19)   Focus on exploration
       Angola’s Council of Minis-  pandemic and the oil price crash, the coun-  According to press reports, the Hydrocarbon
       ters has begun consider-  try’s crude output has dropped to about 1.2mn   Exploration Strategy for 2020-2025 was drawn
       ing the new Hydrocarbon   barrels per day, down from the 2019 full-year   up in a bid to ensure that Angolan oil production
       Exploration Strategy for   average of 1.38mn bpd. At the same time, its oil   remains at or above 1mn bpd until at least 2040.
       2020-2025.        revenues have declined, raising concerns about   The document declares that the country
                         economic hardship.                   must expand its proven reserves beyond the cur-
       WHY:                These developments have not toppled Angola   rent figure of 7bn barrels in order to reach this
       Existing fields cannot   from its position as Africa’s second-largest oil   goal.  The discovery of new reserves is necessary,
       sustain oil output at   producer. But they do seem to have convinced   it argues, because existing production provinces
       current levels over the
       long term.        officials in Luanda to consider the future care-  are maturing.
                         fully, especially in light of the fact that the coun-  This conclusion is in line with a recent study
       WHAT NEXT:        try’s crude output is trending downward over   from the National Agency for Petroleum, Gas
       Although comparisons   the long term.                  and Biofuels (ANPG), which notes that oil out-
       to Brazil’s pre-salt zone   One result of those considerations is a new   put has been declining since 2008 – and argues
       may intrigue investors,   strategy document covering the 2020-2025   that the fields now under development may see
       ultra-deepwater projects   period. The document was submitted to the   yields sink to nearly nothing by 2040. As such,
       will carry high costs.  Council of Ministers for review and discussion   the strategy document calls for launching a
                         last week, and this essay will attempt to provide   major exploration campaign.



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 35   02•September•2020
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