Page 7 - AsiaElec Week 39 2021
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AsiaElec                                     COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec










































                           The reduction would make the three coun-
                         tries eligible for entry into the recent “No New  several countries from pouring billions of dol-
                         Coal” alliance, a UN pledge for countries to stop  lars into coal plants that will quickly become
                         building new coal plants.            stranded assets, given the declining costs of
                           Among the affected countries in Asia, cancel-  renewables and public momentum for carbon
                         lation of plants with proposed Chinese financing  restrictions.”
                         would reduce their coal plant proposals by over   “Before last week, the world’s coal producers
                         40%.                                 were still planning over 390 new coal mines. But
                           The biggest effects would be in Bangladesh  China’s announcement just threw a wrench in
                         and Mongolia, as the amount of proposed coal  the works,” said Ryan Driskell Tate, Researcher
                         plants in each country would decrease by over  and Analyst for GEM’s coal mine tracker. “The
                         90%, making them nearly eligible for the “No  coal industry is going to feel this cold splash of
                         New Coal” pledge. Currently, Bangladesh and  reality from head to toe.”
                         Mongolia have the sixth and eighth highest   “China’s announcement is a step in the right
                         pipeline of proposed coal plants in the world,  direction. It is also acknowledging the reality on
                         respectively.                        the ground, since investing in new coal plants
                                                              no longer makes financial sense as other forms
                         Global coal                          of energy are much cheaper,” said Russell Gray,
                         China’s announcement will also have a major  GEM’s coal finance researcher. “To really have
                         impact on the global coal market, as many of the  a climate impact, China needs to begin phasing
                         20 countries import the majority of their coal.  out coal from its power fleet as soon as possible,
                         Together the 20 countries were home to over  and focus on renewable energy generation.”
                         10% of thermal coal imports in 2019, totaling   China is still home to by far the largest
                         130 million tonnes.                  amount of proposed coal capacity on the globe,
                           If the 44 coal plants are cancelled, it will  with nearly 97,000MW under construction and
                         reduce future coal demand in the countries by  another 163,000MW in planning, according to
                         about 30 million tonnes a year, dealing a major  GEM’s Global Coal Plant Tracker.
                         blow to the future prospects of coal exporters.   These domestic proposals are not covered by
                         In all, future global coal demand growth would  China’s coal finance pledge and will be the main
                         shrink by 1,100 million tonnes over the 44 plants’  focus ahead of COP26 at Glasgow.
                         lifetimes, preventing an estimated 8,000 million   According to the UN’s Intergovernmental
                         tonnes of carbon dioxide being emitted.  Panel on Climate Change, pathways for limiting
                           “China’s announcement is the death knell  global warming to 1.5C require a virtual pha-
                         for overseas public financing for coal, and many  seout of coal power by 2040.
                         proposed coal plants will be cancelled, given the   The IPCC said in August that only an imme-
                         lack of alternative financing options,” said Chris-  diate, rapid and large-scale reductions in carbon
                         tine Shearer, GEM’s Coal Programme Director.  dioxide and other greenhouse emissions able to
                           “The good news is China’s move will save  limit global warming to 1.5°C this century.™



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