Page 8 - AsiaElec Week 39 2021
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AsiaElec                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec




       China to reach peak emissions





       earlier to guarantee net-zero goals





        CHINA            CHINA, the world’s largest energy consumer   Power balance
                         and carbon emitter, needs to reduce its current   China is already a clean energy powerhouse
                         emissions pledges by 20% by 2030 if it is to come  in areas like solar & EVs, although coal accounts
                         good on its commitments to achieve carbon neu-  for over 60% of electricity generation, and
                         trality by 2060.                     China continues to build new coal power plants
                           The International Energy Agency (IEA) has  domestically.
                         warned that China needs to harness its poten-  China has added more solar power capacity
                         tial to speed up the energy transition by bring-  than any other country year after year. It is the
                         ing forward peak emissions from 2030 to 2025.  second largest oil consumer in the world, but
                         It could do this by raising renewables output by  it also home to 70% of global manufacturing
                         seven times, making energy efficiency improve-  capacity for electric vehicle (EV) batteries, the
                         ments and reducing coal use.         report noted.
                           The IEA’s latest country report on China con-  The IEA report found that emissions reduc-
                         cluded that the country has the means to achieve  tions up to 2030 come mainly from more energy
                         an even faster transition that would put its CO2  efficiency & renewables, and less coal. By 2060,
                         emissions into clear decline after 2025.  renewables will generate seven times as much
                                                              power as today.
                           Even faster transition               For example, China needs to find solutions
                           As the country’s energy sector is the source of  to tackle emissions from its huge existing fleet of
                         almost 90% of its emissions, China needs bring  fossil fuel-based power plants, steel mills, cement
                         forward the date of peak emissions in order to  kilns and other industrial facilities.
                         secure a 20% drop in emissions by 2030, com-  The report’s key finding is how to improve
                         pared to today. This would be a key milestone for  China’s current emissions plans, and how to
                         the world to meet its 1.5 degree climate targets  achieve its 20% reduction in 2030 emissions.
                         in 2030.                               At present, China’s plans for 2020 and 2060,
                           The report identified reducing CO2 emission  which the IEA calls the Announced Pledges Sce-
                         from coal use as the key way to cut emissions by  nario. call for electricity generation from renew-
                         20%.                                 ables, mainly wind and solar PV, to increase
                           IEA executive director Fatih Birol was con-  seven-fold between 2020 and 2060, accounting
                         fident that China could achieve these increased  for almost 80% of China’s power mix by then.
                         targets.                               Industrial CO2 emissions are to decline by
                           “The really uplifting news is that our new  nearly 95% by 2060, with the role of emerging
                         roadmap shows China has the means and capa-  innovative technologies, such as hydrogen and
                         bilities to accomplish an even faster clean energy  carbon capture, growing strongly after 2030.
                         transition that would result in greater social and   However, the IEA’s Roadmap also explores
                         economic benefits for the Chinese people and  the opportunities for China to pursue – and
                         also increase the world’s chances of limiting the  benefit from – an even faster clean energy tran-
                         rise in global temperatures to 1.5 °C,” he said.  sition, called the Accelerated Transition Scenario
                           “This accelerated transition would put Chi-  (ATS).
                         na’s CO2 emissions into marked decline after   By concentrating on raising renewables out-
                         2025, opening up the possibility of China reach-  put by seven times, improving energy efficiency
                         ing carbon neutrality well before 2060. This  cutting coal use before 2030, the ATS would see
                         would be both good for China and good for the  peak emission happen before 2030, when emis-
                         world.”                              sions would be falling to 2mn tonnes per year
                                                              (tpy), 20% lower than today. The power sector
















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