Page 4 - AsiaElec Week 35 2021
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AsiaElec                                      COMMENTARY                                             AsiaElec




       The crushing weight of China’s





       debt burden on Eurasia





        CHINA            EMERGING European economies were already  infrastructure projects as part of the BRI. Back in
                         facing heavy debt burdens before the pandemic.  2012, China launched the 17+1 (now 16+1 after
                         Now they have been put under new pressure  Lithuania pulled out this year) format for co-op-
                         as they struggle to boost spending to support  eration with the region.
                         their flagging economies and fund healthcare   While many governments in the region ini-
                         systems that are creaking under the weight of all  tially welcomed the billions of dollars flowing
                         the coronavirus (COVID-19) patients, just as tax  from Chinese coffers, especially during and
                         revenues slump because of the economic shock  immediately after the Great Recession, relations
                         of the pandemic.                     with some have since soured.
                           Four countries were identified back in 2018 as   The collapse of conglomerate CEFC China
                         most at risk from debt distress due to huge loans  Energy, which had bought up numerous compa-
                         they took out to participate in China’s Belt and  nies in the Czech Republic in particular, caused
                         Road (BRI) initiative. bne IntelliNews looks at  Prague to distance itself from Beijing as enthusi-
                         how those four countries – Kyrgyzstan, Mongo-  asm for China’s investment drive began to wane.
                         lia, Montenegro and Tajikistan – have handled   More recently, there were reports of an exo-
                         the crisis.                          dus of Chinese investment from Russia, which
                           These four countries are not alone in embark-  failed to persuade China to finance construction
                         ing on major infrastructure projects under the  of some major transport and energy projects.
                         BRI (initially called One Belt One Road, or  Meanwhile, Romania scrapped talks with Chi-
                         OBOR) launched by Beijing to create a huge web  na’s nuclear power company CGN in favour of
                         of land and sea trading routes, primarily from  a group of Western companies for the project
                         East Asia to Europe, but also linking in Africa  to expand its Cernavoda nuclear power plant
                         and parts of Latin America.          (NPP). Lithuania took the strongest stance
                           Emerging Europe plays an important role in  against China in 2021, when it first pulled out
                         the BRI; the concept was initially launched by  of the 17+1 format, then announced plans to
                         Chinese President Xi Jinping during a trip to  establish reciprocal diplomatic offices with Tai-
                         Kazakhstan in 2013.                  wan, causing China to withdraw its ambassador
                           The Eurasian countries are part of a land  from Vilnius.
                         bridge that links China to Europe, but the BRI   The worsening of relations is partly a conse-
                         also goes on through the Central and South-  quence of deals that collapsed or projects that
                         east European countries that are also part of the  have progressed too slowly – even the pro-Chi-
                         transit routes as well as potential manufacturing  nese Serbian government  rebuked  China
                         hubs for Central and Western Europe for Chi-  Machinery Engineering Corporation (CMEC)
                         nese business.                       for its work on the Kostolac B power plant – but
                           The land bridge also has the added appeal of  it also comes in the context of China’s struggle
                         being on dry land and so well away from the sea  for global supremacy with the US and Washing-
                         lanes linking Asia to Europe, the main route in  ton’s diplomatic offensive in the region. The latter
                         the transit of goods, and ultimately controlled by  has persuaded numerous Central and Southeast
                         the powerful US Navy. China is playing a very  European states to sign up to a declaration on
                         long game to improve both its commerce as well  communications security effectively barring
                         as reduces its security pressure points should it  China’s Huawei from participating in 5G infra-
                         get into a serious clash with Washington.    structure projects.
                                                                There has also been a volley of reports and
                         Enthusiasm for Chinese investment on the  op-eds from US-based think-tanks on debt
                         wanea                                dependency and other risks of co-operation
                         Following the 2008 international financial cri-  with Beijing. China is rapidly replacing Russia
                         sis, Chinese firms started snapping up indus-  as the geopolitical bogeyman in the barrage of
                         trial and commercial assets in the region, and  invective churned out by the American Beltway
                         at the same time launched transport and energy  think-tank industry.  ™











       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 35   01•September•2021
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