Page 7 - MEOG Week 43 2021
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MEOG                                  PRICES & PERFORMANCE                                            MEOG


       Kuwait voices upstream optimism





        KUWAIT           KUWAIT this week outlined plans to bring for-  mainland Kuwait with around 350,000 bpd
                         ward its ambitious crude oil production target  coming from the PNZ. With PNZ output shared
                         as the emirate doubles down on hydrocarbons  50:50 by Kuwait and Saudi, this infers a full
                         developments as its neighbours pivot to embrace  output slate of 700,000 bpd, well above historic
                         the energy transition.               capacity of 500,000-550,000 bpd.
                           Over the past week, Kuwait’s Ministry of   The PNZ’s 550,000 bpd capacity is shared
                         Oil (MoO) and state-owned Kuwait Petroleum  between the 300,000 bpd offshore Al-Khafji and
                         Corp. (KPC) said separately that Kuwaiti oil out-  the 250,000 bpd onshore Wafra oilfields, though
                         put capacity would reach 3.5mn barrels per day  neither asset is understood to have produced at
                         (bpd) by 2025 and 4mn bpd a decade later, with  those levels for around six years, with the fields
                         the latter target brought forward by five years.  shut-in because of disagreements between the
                           The move comes amid optimism from KPC  two governments in 2014 and then in 2015.
                         about the future of output from the partitioned   Operations at Wafra are managed by Wafra
                         neutral zone (PNZ) shared with Saudi Arabia,  Joint Operations (WJO), which is jointly run by
                         though sentiment from the Saudi side appears  KGOC and Saudi Arabian Chevron (SAC), with
                         to be less positive.                 the latter representing the Kingdom.
                           Speaking to the official Kuwait News Agency   While environmental and contractual con-
                         (KUNA), KPC CEO Hashem Hashem said the  cerns were cited as the reasons for the lengthy
                         company’s upstream subsidiary Kuwait Oil Co.  shut-in, Middle East Oil & Gas (MEOG) under-
                         (KOC) would achieve the increase through work  stands that divisions within the Kuwaiti govern-
                         on gathering centres, the expansion of water  ment and continuing discomfort regarding the
                         handling and water injection facilities as well as  key role played by Chevron in operations were
                         upgrades to existing Jurassic production facil-  the key factors preventing a restart.
                         ities and the addition of new production units   The US company’s concession for Wafra was
                         and wells.                           renewed by Saudi Arabia without first consulting
                           KOC’s projects included: “Upgrading current  Kuwait.
                         Jurassic production facilities and establish two   The operation of Khafji is less contentious,
                         additional facilities to increase light crude pro-  with KGOC partnered by Saudi Aramco subsid-
                         duction. This plan will be implemented in com-  iary Aramco Gulf Oil Co. (AGOC) in the Khafji
                         bination with an integrated drilling programme  Joint Operations (KJO) entity.
                         of 500 wells per year on average and around   In April, Saudi energy minister Prince Abdu-
                         2,000 wells workover,” according to KUNA.  laziz bin Salman said the Kingdom’s share of
                           Hashem said the drilling campaign would be  PNZ output was 135,000 bpd of a total 270,000
                         carried out using 71 drilling rigs and 62 worko-  bpd and Hashem said that pre-2015 levels would
                         ver rigs working across Kuwait.      be reached next year.
                           In September a company source was quoted   However, speaking to S&P Global Platts
                         telling the local Arabic language Aljarida daily  this week, a source working on the Saudi side
                         that KOC would drill an extra 300 wells per year,  cast doubt over such optimism, saying that net
                         taking the annual total to 700, as part of a $6.1bn  Saudi output from the PNZ was running at “just
                         capital expenditure on exploration activities over  under” 100,000 bpd, implying a total below
                         the next five years.                 200,000 bpd.
                           Meanwhile, KOC published its 2020 annual   He said that Hashem’s target was unlikely
                         report which showed the company’s maximum  to be reached, noting that technical challenges
                         sustainable oil production capacity at 2.579mn  would likely mean output would be capped at
                         bpd as of the end of March. This marked a  around 400,000-450,000 bpd over the next five
                         572,000-bpd reduction over a period of three  years, noting that reaching 500,000 bpd would
                         years. The bulk of the decline has occurred in  be a “great achievement”.™
                         south-eastern Kuwait, home to the country’s
                         largest oilfield, Burgan, with capacity down by
                         nearly 300,000 bpd to sit below 1.4mn bpd.
                           Hashem said however, that KOC’s output
                         reduction did not provide a comprehensive pic-
                         ture of Kuwait’s oil sector performance in general
                         nor that of KOC, noting that “there are 500,000
                         barrels per day of potential capacity that is pend-
                         ing to be unlocked as associated capital projects
                         and drilling and workover programmes are com-
                         pleted in the coming two years.”

                         PNZ portion
                         Hashem said that around 3.2mn bpd of KOC’s
                         2025 output capacity would come from



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