Page 17 - UKRRptJuly18

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Ukraine: Key economic figures and forecasts
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017e
Nominal GDP (EUR bn) 116.9 135.2 135.3 99.9 81.4 78.3 84.8
Nominal GDP per capita (EUR) 2,573 2,987 3,341 2,332 1,904 1,737 1,994
Real GDP (% yoy) 5.5 0.2 0 -6.6 -9.8 2.3 2.0
Consumer prices (avg, % yoy) 8 0.6 -0.2 12.1 48.7 14.9 14.5
Unemployment rate (avg, %) 8.7 8.2 7.8 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.3
General budget balance (% of -1.8 -3.8 -4.4 -4.9 -2.3 -3.5 -3 GDP)
Public debt (% of GDP) 36.4 37.1 40.7 52.9 72.6 81.3 84.9
Current account balance (% of -6.3 -8.2 -9.2 -3.5 -0.2 -3.7 -5.2 GDP)
Gross foreign debt (% of GDP) 77.6 76.5 79.3 95.2 131.5 142.9 142.5
EUR/LCY (avg) 11 10 11 16 24 30 31
Source: national sources, wiiw, RBI/Raiffeisen RESEARCH
4.0 Real Economy
Ukraine - GDP growth breakdown 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (UAH mn)
Jan-Sep 2017
Annual GDP y/y growth
5.20
0.20
0.00
-6.80
-9.90
2.30
2.18
GDP per capita
3,569.76
3,855.42
4,029.72
3,082.46
2,125
2,186
/
Final consumption expenditure
1,094,231
1,221,163
1,337,048
1,410,177
1,715,636
2,018,854
1,754,681
Gross fixed investment capital formation
291,678
305,031
262,257
220,563
262,917
361,030
297,406
Exports
647,608
670,319
629,392
770,121
1,044,541
1,174,625
1,035,476
Imports
733,526
791,844
763,499
834,133
1,084,016
1,323,127
1,146,747
Source: CEIC
4.1 Industrial production
Ukraine's industrial output growth slowed to 2.5% year-on-year in May
following a 3% y/y growth in April, the Ukrstat state statistics service reported on June 25.
The result was attributed to a 1.9% y/y decline in mining after 5.6% y/y growth in April. May manufacturing sped up to 3.2% y/y after 0.8% y/y growth in April.
17 UKRAINE Country Report July 2018 www.intellinews.com