Page 11 - FSUOGM Week 10 2022
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FSUOGM                                      PERFORMANCE                                            FSUOGM


       European gas prices hit unprecedented




       high amid ongoing Ukrainian conflict




        EUROPE           THE front-month gas price at the Dutch TTF  time being, supplies are actually higher than
                         hub spiked at close to $4,000 per 1,000 cubic  they were in February. Meanwhile, temperatures
       Moscow's actions   metres on March 7, amid the escalating conflict  across Europe have dipped lower in recent days,
       in Ukraine have   in Ukraine that has built on top of an existing  and Asian demand for LNG has soared, limiting
       exacerbating an existing   energy crunch crisis in Europe.  how much gas can be sent to European ports.
       energy crunch crisis in   The April contract at the hub briefly settled   The crisis has prompted several EU mem-
       Europe            at €345 per 1,000 cubic metres at around 08:30  ber states to rethink their reliance on Russian
                         GMT, equivalent to $3,990 per cubic metres. Its  energy, including Germany, which has halted the
                         average for the day was €227.        certification process for Russia’s Nord Stream 2
                           Pressure has been rapidly building on Euro-  pipeline that is required for the project to ever
                         pean gas prices since Moscow began its military  flow gas. Since then, Berlin has announced it
                         campaign in Ukraine. Prices were already at  will devote itself to building two LNG import
                         record levels in recent months as a result of esca-  terminals in north Germany that can serve as a
                         lating tensions between Russia and the West, as  replacement.
                         well as a sharp rebound in demand following the   Italy, another important market for Russian
                         easing of coronavirus (COVID-19) restrictions  gas, has similarly announced plans to reduce
                         and global supply constraints.       its reliance on its main supplier, Gazprom.
                           There are mounting concerns that the conflict  Italian officials were in Algeria last week to dis-
                         in Ukraine could lead to a disruption in Russian  cuss bolstering supply from the North African
                         gas transit via the country, even though, for the  country.™

                                                        POLICY




       Canada bans Russian oil in response



       to Ukraine invasion





        CANADA           CANADA announced on February 28 that it  an analysis of government data by Johnston.
                         would ban imports of Russian oil in response   The value of last year’s petroleum imports
       The US and the UK   to Moscow’s decision to invade Ukraine. It is  from Russia was estimated at about CAD350mn
       have taken similar   the first G7 country to impose an embargo on  ($275mn), the Financial Post said, citing data
       steps.            Russian oil.                         compiled by the Business Council of Alberta.
                           The move, announced by Canadian Prime  According to the council, the value of oil and
                         Minister Justin Trudeau, was seen as largely  oil product imports from Russia reached
                         symbolic given that Canada’s imports of Russian  CAD884mn ($694mn) in 2019.
                         crude are limited. Canadian Minister of Natural   This compares with total energy imports to
                         Resources Jonathan Wilkinson clarified the next  Canada worth CAD32bn ($25bn) in 2021, with
                         day that the ban would also include the import of  the US, Saudi Arabia and West Africa also sup-
                         refined petroleum products and other oil prod-  plying significant volumes.
                         ucts from Russia.                      Also this week, the Canadian Association of
                           The Financial Post cited information from  Petroleum Producers (CAPP) called for the fed-
                         Commodity Context’s analyst and founder,  eral government to make a “clear commitment”
                         Rory Johnston, as well as the Canada Energy  to grow the country’s oil and gas production and
                         Regulator (CER), as showing the country had  exports in light of the situation in Ukraine.
                         not imported any Russian crude oil since 2019.   “Over the last decade, issues like energy secu-
                         That year, Canada imported about 18,000 bar-  rity and country of supply have not been very
                         rels per day of oil from Russia, out of total crude  high on the public’s radar,” the Canadian Press
                         imports of 963,000 bpd. In 2021, the country  quoted CAPP’s president, Tim McMillan, as
                         imported 10,000 bpd of petroleum products  saying. He added that Canadian producers were
                         from Russia last year, with gasoline and gasoline  ready and willing to play a larger role in global
                         blends accounting for about 50%, according to  energy supply in the coming decades. ™



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