Page 14 - FSUOGM Week 10 2022
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FSUOGM                                            POLICY                                            FSUOGM

















       Calls for embargo of Russian




       oil, gas gain traction





        RUSSIA           THERE are growing calls in the US and the EU  respond to the conflict in Ukraine by “de-Russi-
                         for an embargo to be placed on Russian oil and  fying” its energy sector.
       There is a concerted   gas supplies in light of escalating military action   “This ongoing conflict and the war is con-
       push to end reliance on   in Ukraine. Yet at least in the EU, few member  vincing us all that we don’t need more tools of
       Russian energy, even   states are in a position to impose an outright ban  blackmail from Gazprom and the Russian Fed-
       among countries that   on Russian energy without crippling their own  eration,” she told Politico in an interview.
       were previously quite   economies.                       Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki
       comfortable about this   The EU has previously ruled out any sanc-  has called for similar action. 
       dependence.       tions against Russia that would affect its ability to   Meanwhile, Lithuanian Foreign Minister
                         export oil and gas, given the toll this would take  Gabrielius Landsbergis backed an embargo on
                         on the bloc’s economy as a result of higher prices.  March 7.
                         Oil and gas prices have already soared in recent   “Energy sources which we import pay for the
                         days since Russia’s military action in Ukraine  Russian military operation,” she said in a joint
                         began, with Brent touching $130 per barrel in  news conference with US Secretary of State
                         early trading on March 7, after the front-month  Anthony Blinken. “We cannot pay for oil and
                         contract at the Dutch TTF gas hub spiked at  gas with the blood of Ukraine.”
                         nearly $4,000 per 1,000 cubic metres.  Still, the EU would struggle to end oil and gas
                           US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said  imports at least in the short term. Russia supplies
                         on March 6 that the US and its European allies  about 40% of the bloc’s gas, while also providing
                         were engaged in “very active discussions” on  a quarter of its oil imports. Many refineries in
                         imposing a ban on Russian crude sales.  Central and Eastern Europe are linked to Rus-
                           “We are now in very active discussions with  sia’s Druzhba oil pipeline system, and while some
                         our European partners about banning the  have made efforts in recent years to import more
                         import of Russian oil to our countries, while of  supply from elsewhere, particularly from the
                         course, at the same time, maintaining a steady  Middle East, ending Russian oil supply com-
                         global supply of oil,” Blinken said in an NBC  pletely could not happen overnight.
                         interview.                             Likewise, many EU states that are signif-
                           Japan, Russia’s fifth-biggest supplier of oil,  icantly dependent on Russian gas have no
                         is also in talks on taking such a step, the Kyodo  physical means of importing enough supply
                         News Agency reported on March 7.     from other producers. Even Poland, which
                           There is broad public support for an embargo  sees the ending of Russian gas imports as a
                         in the US, but the impact of such a measure  strategic priority, will be unable to achieve
                         would not be greatly significant. In 2021, the  this until at least the Baltic Pipe from Norway
                         US imported an average of 209,000 barrels per  is operational. The pipeline is due online in
                         day of oil and 500,000 bpd of other petroleum  October 2022, although it is unclear whether
                         products from Russia. And while this is a con-  environmental permitting issues in Denmark
                         siderable amount of trade in its own right, the  have affected the schedule.
                         size of the US market means that Russia only   Nevertheless, there is a concerted push in the
                         accounted for 3.5% of US imported oil in 2021.  EU to phase out both Russian oil and gas over
                         Its dependence on Russia for gasoline is signifi-  the longer term, even among countries that pre-
                         cantly greater, at 21%, but even this is a relatively  viously seemed quite comfortable about depend-
                         small share in comparison to how much some  ing greatly on Russia for their energy. Germany,
                         European countries depend on Russian energy.  Europe’s biggest gas market, has shelved Russia’s
                           Several eastern EU member states have been  Nord Stream 2 pipeline and said it will build
                         the most vocal in calling for an embargo on Rus-  LNG terminals instead, while Italy is in talks
                         sian fossil fuel supply. Polish Energy Minister  with Algeria and its other suppliers to bring Rus-
                         Anna Moskwa said last week that the EU should  sian imports to a minimum. ™



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