Page 5 - MEOG Week 35 2021
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MEOG                                         COMMENTARY                                               MEOG




























                         largely in place. The field’s production plateau  30,000 bpd by 2024.
                         was previously revised downward first from   The maximum remuneration rate for Block
                         1.8mn bpd to 1.2mn bpd and then to 800,000  10 is $5.99 per boe, though these terms are also
                         bpd, though the timeline for the latest revision  understood to be subject to ongoing amendment
                         has also been extended from 2025 to 2030. “We  discussions. The field is anticipated to produce
                         still plan to reach the target of 800,000 bpd by  250,000 bpd by 2027.
                         2030, but it is probably too early to talk about   US-based ExxonMobil remains in protracted
                         this,” Zhdanov said.                 discussions to depart from the West Qurna-1
                           The additional 350,000 bpd will be achieved  TSC, having filed an arbitration case at the Inter-
                         through the Yamama expansion.        national Chamber of Commerce (ICC) against
                           West Qurna-2 forms the larger, southern  state-owned Basra Oil Co. (BOC) in July, citing
                         development project to tap the broader deposit,  the stifling of efforts to sell its 32.7% stake in the
                         which has estimated oil reserves of around 23bn  field to PetroChina and China National Offshore
                         barrels, with West Qurna-1 holding the smaller,  Oil Co. (CNOOC).
                         9bn barrel share.                      A company spokeswoman was quoted as
                           However, Lukoil is believed to be dragging  saying: “We have worked in good faith and in
                         its heels on the Mishrif expansion and a final  accordance with the contract with [BOC] and
                         investment decision (FID) is yet to be taken on  the government of Iraq to secure their support
                         Yamama as the company pushes the MoO for an  for the transaction.”
                         improvement to the maximum remuneration   However, Abdul Jabbar suggested that a res-
                         fee of $1.15 per barrel stipulated by the contract  olution to the issue is in sight. “We respect the
                         signed in January 2010.              contracts regarding the timing, but we were late
                           Despite being located in the south-east of the  in completing the share purchase programme
                         country, Lukoil is partnered in the WQ-2 TSC  and that is currently being addressed,” he said,
                         by the state-owned North Oil Co., which holds a  adding that the ministry is working to “official
                         carried 25% interest.                approvals” to purchase Exxon’s shares in the field
                           With a maximum remuneration fee of $1.15  on behalf of BOC.
                         per barrel, according to Wood Mackenzie,   Meanwhile, BP pulled up short of a full
                         Lukoil’s net profit from WQ-2 is just $0.56 per  departure from Iraq’s upstream, last week spin-
                         barrel of oil equivalent when considering state  ning off its activities into a new joint venture (JV)
                         equity interest and tax, with this dropping to  – Basra Energy Company Ltd – which will hold
                         $0.19 per boe after applying the performance  its and China National Petroleum Corp. (CNPC)
                         factor.                              subsidiary PetroChina’s combined 94% stake in
                           Baghdad understood to be carrying out a  the supergiant Rumaila oilfield and operate the
                         review of its contracts with IOCs, Lukoil may be  asset together with Basra Oil Co. (BOC).
                         banking on a breakthrough in this regard.  Under a transaction apparently aimed at
                                                              improving BP’s energy transition credentials, the
                         Following the lead                   company will continue to benefit from revenues
                         For Iraq, Lukoil’s decision to stick with West  from Rumaila while removing the asset’s trou-
                         Qurna-2 is a boon, though it is understood that  blesome flaring and emissions issues from its
                         with Baghdad having rejected its intention to  books. For Iraq, it will allow the partners access
                         sell, the company was left with little option.  to external financing as they seek to increase pro-
                           That being said, unlike fellow IOCs Exxon-  duction from the current 1.4mn bpd level to the
                         Mobil and BP, the Russian company’s intention  2.1mn bpd plateau agreed in 2014.
                         was not to withdraw from the country entirely. It   With the MoO understood to be in talks with
                         also holds a 60% stake in Block 10 and recently  European and US majors for an upcoming gas
                         agreed terms with the MoO for the development  push, Baghdad appears to have weathered much
                         of the block’s Eridu oilfield at an initial rate of  of the latest storm.™



       Week 35   01•September•2021              www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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