Page 6 - FSUOGM Week 08 2023
P. 6

FSUOGM                                           TIMELINE                                           FSUOGM



       The severing of Russia-Europe




       energy ties in a year





       We look at the key developments over the past year that led to the severing

       of the Russian-European energy relationship.


        RUSSIA           EVEN during some of the tensest periods of  March 31, 2022: Russian President Vladimir
                         the Cold War, USSR oil, gas and other energy  Putin gave European gas buyers a stern warn-
                         supplies to the West continued unabated. But  ing at the end of March last year: start paying
                         almost a year after Moscow launched its inva-  for Russian gas in rubles when their next in-
                         sion of Ukraine, the once-close energy partner-  voices were due, or have their supplies cut off.
                         ship between Russia and Europe is in tatters. It is   The move was aimed at sowing discord in
                         worth looking back at the key events that led to  the EU, bolstering the strength of the ruble and
                         the present situation.               preventing Gazprom’s revenues from potentially
                                                              being frozen in European bank accounts. The
                         February 22, 2022: Two days prior to Mos-  majority of buyers complied with the decree, but
                         cow’s invasion of Ukraine, Germany’s govern-  a number resisted.
                         ment halted the certification process needed
                         for the launch of Russia’s controversial Nord  April 27, 2022: Among the buyers that re-
                         Stream 2 pipeline. German Chancellor Olaf  fused  to  comply were  Poland  and  Bulgaria,
                         Scholz said the pipeline, which would have  which had their supply halted on April 27.
                         provided an extra 55bn cubic metres per year  Poland was able to rely on LNG and pipeline
                         of Russian gas to Germany and its neighbours,  imports from its neighbours to withstand the
                         could not be certified, as “the situation has  loss of Russian supply, but the situation was
                         fundamentally changed.” He was referring to  more difficult for Bulgaria. The launch of an
                         the Kremlin’s decision to recognise the break-  interconnector with Greece in July helped ease
                         away republics of Donetsk and Luhansk a day  the  situation,  although  Bulgarian  politicians
                         earlier.                             continue to debate whether or not authorities
                           Scholz had previously held the position of his  should agree to pay in rubles to get their Rus-
                         predecessor Angela Merkel, who had repeatedly  sian supply back.
                         insisted that the project was strictly economic   In the subsequent months, more gas buyers
                         in nature and not political. Nord Stream 2 was  lost their supply, including companies in Den-
                         originally due online before the end of 2019, but  mark, France, Finland, Germany, Italy and the
                         construction was held up by permitting delays in  Netherlands.
                         Denmark and US sanctions, which forced Swiss
                         pipelayer Allseas to withdraw from the project  June 14, 2022: Gazprom declared on June
                         before its work was done. Russia then had to  14 last year that it was cutting gas flow via the
                         deploy its own pipelaying vessels to finish the  Nord Stream 1 pipeline by 40%, blaming Sie-
                         job, which they finally did in September 2021.  mens’ failure to return a turbine on time that
                         What followed was a lengthy certification pro-  had been sent off for repair, as well as other
                         cess, which ultimately came to nothing.  technical difficulties at the Portovaya compres-
                                                              sor station as a result of Western sanctions. The
                         March 8, 2022:  Responding to calls from  following day it restricted flow to only 40% of
                         member states to break off energy ties with  capacity, after switching off another turbine,
                         Russia, the European Commission on March 8  causing supply shortages across Europe.
                         unveiled its RePowerEU plan, which was even-  Various European leaders accused Gazprom
                         tually finalised just over two months later.  of weaponising gas supply, particularly as Can-
                           In its final form, RepowerEU called for the  ada, where the turbine previously mentioned
                         rapid increase in LNG and other non-Russian  was repaired, had shipped it to Germany for
                         gas imports and reductions in demand, with  onward delivery to Russia. Russia refused to
                         the aim of cutting Russian gas consumption by  accept the turbine, claiming it lacked sufficient
                         two-thirds by the end of 2022. With the rapid  documentation and guarantees.
                         deployment of renewables and other low-carbon
                         technologies, the goal was to eliminate Russian  July 25, 2022: Gazprom added further pres-
                         imports completely by 2027. In the end, due to  sure on the European gas market in late July,
                         the Kremlin’s own actions, Russian imports  restricting Nord Stream 1’s flow further to only
                         were cut far more quickly than Brussels had  20% of capacity after shutting down another
                         envisaged.                           turbine servicing Nord Stream 1.



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                       Week 08   22•February•2023
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