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3.4.4 Energy & power

                               With the region’s dependence on imported energy – one of the leading
                               factors of historically high inflation – it’s vital for the Baltic states to
                               develop domestic energy production and support the transition to green
                               energy. Renewable energy and green transition are high on the agenda
                               in all three Baltic states.


                               3.4.5 Construction

                               It is the Latvian capital, Riga, which is believed to have the best office
                               RE development prospects in 2023. Around 10-12 new office buildings
                               are scheduled to come on stream in Riga in 2023, offering total office
                               space of around 137,000 sqm. Such a surge in supply will open up real
                               opportunities for the expansion of both domestic and foreign
                               companies. In addition, new and well-paid jobs will also give the
                               housing segment an extra boost. Lithuanian-owned capital entering
                               the Riga market shows that the city’s potential is untapped.


                               The data of the Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia (CSB) for the third
                               quarter of 2022 show that construction output fell by 13.6 %, y/y,
                               according to calendar adjusted data at constant prices.
                               A decline was observed in construction of buildings (of 14.2 %),
                               specialised construction activities (13.3 %) and civil engineering (12.2
                               %).




                               3.4.6 Major Sectors
                               The Latvian Hotel and Restaurant Association estimates that 60% of
                               hotel bookings were cancelled after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.




        3.5 Real economy - Lithuania




                               3.5.1 Retail
                               In Lithuania, retail volume fell by 3.5% y/y in October 2022, after a 1.2%
                               drop in the previous month. This was the fifth straight month of decline
                               in retail trade, with sales falling at faster rates for food, beverages, and
                               tobacco (-8.2% vs -5.0% in September) while non-food products
                               dropped (-2.8% vs 0.2%). Meanwhile, sales growth of automotive fuel in
                               specialised stores accelerated (2.1% vs 1.6%). On a monthly basis,
                               retail sales dropped by 1.5% in October, following a 5.5% gain in
                               September.














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