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FSUOGM                                        COMMENTARY                                            FSUOGM


       EU mulls response to US sanctions





       on Nord Stream 2






       The punitive measures may prove ineffectual and undermine relations

       between the US and its European allies



        EUROPE           THE US risks creating a substantial rift with  sanctions, and German business lobbies have
                         Germany and its other key allies in Europe by  urged funds to be made available to affected
       WHAT:             imposing extra sanctions Russia’s Nord Stream  companies.
       A bill is making its way   2 pipeline project.           The new sanctions would need to be
       through US Congress   US senators introduced a bill in early June  approved by both chambers of US Congress and
       that would impose extra   which made its way to the House of Represent-  then signed into law by US President Donald
       sanctions on the Nord   atives last week. It calls for broadened sanctions  Trump. US officials have already conceded that
       Stream 2 project.  against any companies involved in helping Rus-  Washington would struggle to thwart the project
                         sia lay Nord Stream 2. Only 6% of the pipeline,  at such a late stage of development.
       WHY:              which makes landfall in Germany, is left to com-  As stated, Russia already has its own pipe-
       The US says the Russian   plete. But work was halted after a first round  laying vessels, Akademik Cherskiy and For-
       pipeline is a threat to EU   of sanctions forced Swiss contractor Allseas to  tuna, stationed nearby. The former had to
       energy security and will   withdraw from the project in December last year.  travel for months from the Russian Far East
       be used by Moscow as a   Russia now has two of its own pipelaying vessels  and around Asia and Africa to get to European
       political tool.   on standby off the German port of Mukran,  waters. It is unclear whether the vessels will
                         ready to finish the job.             need any non-Russian assistance to finish the
       WHAT NEXT:          The European Commission is preparing  pipeline.
       At such a late stage, the   measures to protect the EU from the sanctions,   Gazprom recently requested a permit from
       sanctions may not affect   its foreign policy chief Josep Borrell has said,  regulators in Denmark to anchor a pipelayer
       Nord Stream 2, although   warning that Washington’s measures could  to complete Nord Stream 2, “as a precaution-
       the project faces other   break international law.     ary measure.” It is understood that Cherskiy is
       challenges.         “The EU’s position on US sanctions against  equipped with the dynamic positioning system
                         European companies that carry out legitimate  (DPS) required to work in Danish waters, where
                         and lawful activities under European law is une-  the remainder of Nord Stream 2 will be built, but
                         quivocal,” he told Reuters. “They are unaccept-  it lacks a crane big enough for its 48-inch (1,220-
                         able and contrary to international law, and the  mm) pipes. Fortuna, on the other hand, does not
                         Union firmly opposes them.           have DPS but has a big enough crane.
                           The EC is “preparing the group for the adop-  NewsBase understands that Gazprom’s plan
                         tion of an enhanced sanctions mechanism that  is to couple the two ships, but there is a risk that
                         will improve Europe’s resilience to the effects  Cherskiy’s DPS will not work if this is done. They
                         of extra-territorial sanctions imposed by third  would therefore have to be anchored, requiring
                         countries,” he said, without saying what form  an additional permit from Denmark.
                         this mechanism would take.             Obtaining this permit could represent a
                           Borrell went on to say that by hurting the  significant hurdle, given how long it took for
                         EU’s economic interests, US sanctions would  Denmark to issue previous permits last year. US
                         undermine the two parties’ unified front against  pressure was reported to have been behind the
                         Russian activities in Ukraine. The EU and US  delay.
                         began imposing sanctions on Russia together   Then again, as Gazprom has suggested,
                         after Moscow’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea  anchoring may only be a back-up option if it is
                         peninsula in early 2014.             unable to lay the pipeline using Cherskiy’s DPS.
                           Nord Stream 2, which would deliver an extra   Despite US claims, Russia’s ability to use
                         55bn cubic metres per year of gas to Gazprom’s  Nord Stream 2 as a tool for political influence
                         customers in Europe, enjoys strong support in  in Europe is somewhat limited. Europe has
                         Berlin.                              worked hard over the last decade to build up its
                           “New sanctions would constitute a serious  LNG import capacity and expand cross-border
                         interference in European energy security and EU  connections. Furthermore, a recent EU antitrust
                         sovereignty,” Germany’s foreign minister said in  ruling has restricted Gazprom’s ability to over-
                         a statement earlier this month.      charge for its gas. What this means is that Russia
                           Germany’s parliament is due to hold a hear-  has far less leverage over Europe as its top gas
                         ing on July 1 on a potential response to the US  supplier than it once did. ™



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                           Week 26   01•July•2020
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