Page 8 - FSU OGM Week 26
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FSUOGM                                              NRG                                             FSUOGM


                         Miller did not disclose a timeframe for realising  may have been cancelled for loading in August.
                         these projects. The pipeline through Mongolia,   However, some trade sources cited by Reuters
                         known as Power of Siberia 2, enjoys strong polit-  last week have suggested that loading a cargo in
                         ical support from Moscow. But it is still at the  August might make more sense compared with
                         study phase, and it could be many years before  June and July. This is because there is a price
                         Russia and China agree a supply contract to  contango between August and forward months,
                         underpin its construction, if ever.  while shipping rates are low.
                           Uzbekistan is making progress on several   In the short term, the gas price differentials
                         fronts in its energy sector. It has struck a prelim-  between Europe and the US are expected to
                         inary deal with a group of Russian investors for  remain unfavourable for US producers. And the
                         the construction of a 1.5-GW gas-fired power  Australian government also anticipated LNG
                         plant that would supply both domestic and  spot prices to weaken further, with this having a
                         Afghan electricity users. It has also launched a  negative impact on the country’s exports.
                         $300mn modernisation programme at one of its   This comes as Australia continues to compete
                         two main refineries, aimed at bringing the qual-  with Qatar for the top spot in global LNG exports
                         ity of the plant’s fuel to Europe standards.  – with the US having become the third-largest
                                                              exporter of the fuel in 2019.
                         If you’d like to read more about the key events shaping
                         the former Soviet Union’s oil and gas sector then please   If you’d like to read more about the key events shaping
                         click here for NewsBase’s FSU Monitor .  the global LNG sector then please click here for
                                                              NewsBase’s GLNG Monitor .
                         COVID-19 weighs on LNG exports
                         LNG exports are slumping as a result of  Latin America still coping with COVID-19
                         lower demand globally amid the coronavirus  Both Argentina and Colombia are facing the
                         (COVID-19) pandemic, and the outlook for the  problem of how to cope with lower crude oil
                         coming months remains bearish.       prices and weaker energy demand.
                           This week, Australia’s government esti-  With respect to Colombia, a high-ranking
                         mated that the country’s export earnings from  representative of Fitch Ratings says he expects
                         LNG would drop by 26% year on year (y/y) to  fallout from the oil price crash and the corona-
                         AUD35bn ($24bn), in the coming financial year,  virus (COVID-19) pandemic to act as a drag on
                         which runs July 2020-June 2021.      the economy for at least two or three years.
                           Meanwhile, the US Energy Information  The ratings agency has predicted that the coun-
                         Administration (EIA) reported last week that  try’s GDP will contract by at least 4.5%, and it
                         US LNG exports had declined by more than half  may revise that figure upward soon.
                         in 2020 so far. Citing data from consultancy IHS   In Argentina, the national oil company
                         Markit, the EIA said gas deliveries to US lique-  (NOC) YPF has issued a declaration of force
                         faction terminals had reached a record high of  majeure, saying it is unable to pay the Belgian
                         9.8bn cubic feet (278mn cubic metres) per day in  company Exmar for services performed since
                         March, but fell to less than 4.0 bcf (113 mcm) per  mid-March because of the pandemic. Exmar –
                         day in June. Meanwhile, more than 70 cargoes  the operator of Tango LNG, the floating facility
                         are estimated to have been cancelled for loading  that is the only working gas liquefaction plant
                         from US LNG plants in June and July, and the  in the country – has responded to this move by
                         latest media reports suggest that 40-45 cargoes  describing it as illegal.




































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