Page 12 - FSU OGM Week 26
P. 12

FSUOGM                                       PERFORMANCE                                            FSUOGM


       Russia’s Urals oil grade trades at




       record premium to Brent




        RUSSIA           THE price of Russia’s flagship Urals grade oil in  discount has swung to a premium. Some refin-
                         Northwestern Europe soared to a record pre-  ers favour higher-sulphur crude if their plants
       Urals has traditionally   mium to North Sea Brent on June 25.  are designed specifically to process it.
       traded at a discount to   Urals was selling at $43.25 per barrel for Rot-  This unusual situation has led to some unu-
       Brent.            terdam delivery that day, which was $2.35 more  sual buying habits. France’s Total, Europe’s big-
                         than Brent. The premium was up $0.40 from  gest oil refiner, has reportedly started buying
                         June 24 and represented the largest recorded  North Sea oil, as fewer volumes are available
                         since September 1994, the Argus pricing agency  from its two main suppliers, Russia and Nigeria.
                         estimated.                             OPEC+ has agreed to keep 9.7mn bpd of
                           Urals traditionally trades at a discount to  supply offline until the end of July, after which
                         Brent because of its high sulphur content, which  point the cut will be eased to 7.7mn bpd. Restric-
                         adds costs at refineries. This discount widened  tions will remain in force, albeit gradually being
                         in March and early April as refiners in Europe,  loosened, until April 2022. Assuming the deal
                         the main market in which Urals is sold, cut back  on cuts is not terminated early, Urals trading at
                         production as the coronavirus (COVID-19)  a premium to Brent could be the norm for the
                         pandemic took hold, causing fuel demand to  next few years.
                         plummet.                               According to Argus, sea-bound exports of
                           However, since Russia and its OPEC+ part-  Urals are expected to fall by 534,000 bpd month
                         ners reached a landmark deal in early April to  on month in July to 770,000 bpd – their lowest
                         take 9.7mn barrels per day (bpd) of supply off   level since 2002. Total oil exports from Russian
                         the market, Urals has become scarcer and the  ports will drop by 524,000 bpd to 1.52mn bpd. ™





       SOCAR profits slide on weaker



       revenues in 2019





        AZERBAIJAN       AZERBAIJAN’S national oil company (NOC)  weaker. The company has had to contend with
                         SOCAR posted a near-46% decline in net profits  the oil price collapse and a sharp drop in fuel
       Results in 2020 will be   in 2019 to AZN651mn ($383mn) last year, from  demand. It has also had to cut production as part
       significantly weaker.  AZN1.2bn a year earlier.        of Azerbaijan’s commitments under a deal with
                           This result came despite the company post-  other OPEC+ members.
                         ing higher operating income of AZN5.8bn,   Ratings agency Fitch downgraded SOCAR’s
                         versus AZN3.6bn a year earlier. Revenues fell to  outlook in April from Stable to Negative in light
                         AZN83.8bn, from AZN107.8bn, the company  of these factors. The company, Fitch said, will
                         stated in a report audited by EY.    struggle with higher leverage over the next few
                           The value of the company’s current assets  years, and its oil production will contract by
                         declined to AZN19.2bn, from AZN19.3bn,  11% in 2020, only recovering to the 2018 level of
                         while total assets climbed to AZN65.4bn  256,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2022. ™
                         from AZN62.1bn. Current liabilities fell to
                         AZN17.3bn from AZN17.4bn, but total liabili-
                         ties increased to AZN41.1bn from AZN38.2bn.
                           SOCAR’s total equity grew to AZN24.3bn
                         from AZN23.9bn.
                           The company’s main source of revenue is oil
                         sales, primarily from the BP-run Azeri-Chi-
                         rag-Gunashli (ACG) project in the Caspian Sea.
                         But it also sells gas domestically and in Turkey
                         via the Southern Gas Corridor (SGC), and pro-
                         duces fuels and petrochemicals in Azerbaijan
                         and Turkey.
                           SOCAR’s results in 2020 will be significantly

       P12                                      www. NEWSBASE .com                           Week 26   01•July•2020
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