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                     view of Lukashenko, compared to about 60% for Merkel, according to a poll of 3,000 respondents conducted by the Rating Sociological Group.
The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) equals 68.5 in August, which is 1.8 points higher than in July ​(the values of indices can vary from 0 to 200), according to the data provided by Info Sapiens. "There are no significant changes observed in the Consumer Confidence in August. All the indices are stable with a weak tendency to improvement," Info Sapiens analysts said. According to the study, Index of the Current Situation (ICS) is stable and equals 62.5, which is 1.8 p. higher than previous month. The components of this index have changed as follows: Index of Current Personal Financial Standing equals 50.8, which is 2.4 points higher than the indicator in July; Index of Propensity to Consume insignificantly increased by 1.2 p. and reached the indicator of 74.2. In August, Index of Economic Expectations (ІЕE) has changed insignificantly to the level of 72.5. The components of this index have changed as follows: Index of Expected Changes in Personal Financial Standing decreased insignificantly by 1.0 points comparing to the previous month and equals 74.4; Index of Expectations of the Country's Economic Development Over the Next Year increased by 2.8 points and equals 60.0; Index of Expectations of the Country's Economic Development over the Next 5 Years slightly increased to the level of 83.0, which is 3.3 points higher than in July.
 3.0​ ​Macro Economy
   Business cycle indicators
     2008
   2009
   2010
   2011
   2012
   2013
   2014
   2015
   2016
 2017
     2018E
  2019E
 Real GDP, chg yoy
  2.3%
     -14.8%
      4.1%
      5.2%
      0.2%
      0.0%
      -6.6%
      -9.8%
      2.3%
    2.5%
    3.3%
    2.70%
   Household consumption, chg yoy
 11.8%
   -14.9%
    7.1%
    15.7%
  8.4%
  6.9%
 -8.3%
  -20.7%
   1.8%
  7.8%
  8.9%
  4.90%
  Investments in fixed capital, chg yoy
    1.6%
 -50.5%
 3.9%
 7.1%
 5.0%
 -6.7%
 -24.0%
 -9.2%
 20.1%
18.2%
    14.3%
 7.00%
   Industrial output, chg yoy
      -5.2%
    -21.9%
    11.2%
    8.0%
    -0.7%
    -4.3%
    -10.1%
    -13.0%
    2.8%
 0.4%
      1.1%
   2.50%
   Nominal GDP, UAH bln
      948
    913
    1,079
    1,300
    1,405
    1,465
 1,587
      1,989
    2,383
 2,983
      3,559
   4,021
 Nominal GDP, USD bln
  180
     117
      136
      163
      176
      183
    134
    91
     93
    112
    131
    146
   GDP per capita, USD
    3,891
 2,550
 2,972
 3,580
 3,865
 4,030
 3,117
 2,134
 2,193
2,638
    3,077
 3,336
 CPI (eop)
  22.3%
     12.3%
      9.1%
      4.6%
      -0.2%
      0.5%
      24.9%
      43.3%
      12.4%
    13.7%
    9.8%
    7.10%
   CPI average
    25.2%
 15.9%
  9.4%
   8.0%
 0.6%
 -0.3%
12.1%
 48.7%
   13.9%
  14.4%
    10.90 %
 8.20%
 Unemployment (ILO methodology, avg)
  6.9%
    9.6%
   8.9%
     8.7%
     8.2%
     7.8%
     9.7%
   9.5%
   9.7%
   9.9%
   9.1%
   8.00%
           Source: SP Advisors
3.1 ​Macroeconomic overview
The fall in the gross domestic product (GDP) of Ukraine in April-June 2020 amounted to 11.4% compared to the same period in 2019, ​the State Statistics Service said on September 18, confirming its preliminary assessment published in the middle of August.
The drop in GDP in the first quarter of 2020 was 1.3%, while in the fourth quarter of 2019 there was an increase of 1.5%; in the third GDP grew by 3.9%, in the second by 4.7% and in the first quarter by 2.9%.
19​ UKRAINE Country Report​ October 2020 ​ ​www.intellinews.com
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