Page 13 - EurOil Week 47 2021
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EurOil                                      PERFORMANCE                                               EurOil


       Norwegian oil, gas output climbs




       in October




        NORWAY           NORWEGIAN oil and gas supply grew in Octo-  surpassed the forecast by 1.5%.
                         ber both month on month and year on year,   State-owned producer Equinor secured
       Norwegian output is up   amid further growth at the Johan Sverdrup field  approval to pump an extra 2bn cubic metres of
       2% from the level in the   and recovering prices.      gas annually from the Troll and Oseberg fields
       previous month and up   Oil and other liquids production averaged  starting this gas year, which began in October.
       12.4% year on year.  2.062mn barrels per day (bpd) during the month,  The company has also been given permission to
                         up 2% from the level in the previous month and  pump more gas from the Heidrun field, the NPD
                         12.4% y/y, according to the Norwegian Petro-  was quoted as saying by Reuters on November
                         leum Directorate (NPD). Since its launch in  18. It has also decided to increase gas exports
                         autumn 2019, Sverdrup has been a driving force  from the Gina Krog, using supplies that would
                         behind output growth in Norway. It is currently  otherwise have been reinjected into reservoirs to
                         flowing at a rate of over 500,000 bpd, and has a  boost oil recovery.
                         full, first-phase capacity of 535,000 bpd.  “Estimates show that a very small part of oil
                           Despite the growth, liquids output came in  production [at Gina Krog] is affected ... If gas
                         1.1% below the level that was forecast.  prices fall sharply, the increased gas exports will
                           Meanwhile, Norwegian gas deliveries aver-  stop,” the NPD told the news agency. The direc-
                         aged 336.4mn cubic metres per day in Octo-  torate estimates that around a quarter of total gas
                         ber, marking a 13.3% increase from the level  produced off Norway is reinjected under the sea
                         in the previous month and 16.2% higher y/y. It  bed.™









       European gas prices see further growth





        EUROPE           WHOLESALE gas prices in Europe rose for the  much gas-to-coal switching takes place on the
                         seventh day in a row on November 18, as a mul-  market.
       Germany's regulator has   titude of factors have made the market tighter.  Nord Stream 2’s certification will no longer
       halted the certification   The December gas delivery contract rose  be complete until April next year at the earliest,
       of Nord Stream 2.  from €70.1 per MWh on November 10 to €75.7/  and it could well drag on into the late summer,
                         MWh on November 12 and then €79.95/MWh  depending on how long the European Commis-
                         on November 15. It then soared to €94.2/MWh  sion takes to make its recommendation to Ger-
                         on November 16, and was trading at €95.4/MWh  many’s regulator.
                         as of 16:20 GMT on November 18.        “Delays in utilising Nord Stream 2 may
                           The sharp growth in recent days came after  have a lasting effect through the region’s 2021
                         Germany’s energy regulator announced it had  winter and beyond,” analysts at Rystad Energy
                         halted the certification process for the Nord  warned in a note on November 17. “Europe may
                         Stream 2 pipeline. It has said it will only resume  be forced to continue being dependent on an
                         the process once the pipeline’s Swiss-based oper-  already tight liquefied natural gas [LNG] mar-
                         ator has established a German subsidiary.  ket, which suggests an increased likelihood of a
                           The regulator’s announcement dashed expec-  sustained high price environment throughout
                         tations of any supply relief through the pipeline  much of next year’s first half if Europe emerges
                         arriving in Europe this winter. It follows a drop  with severely depleted storage.”
                         in temperatures in the northern hemisphere,   Russian flows to Europe through Ukraine
                         and data on November 17 showed that gas stor-  and Poland have increased only marginally
                         age levels in Europe were 2.5% lower than in  recently, despite Gazprom’s announcement that
                         the previous week. Another bullish factor has  it would be sending gas for storage in Europe ear-
                         been higher carbon prices, which may limit how  lier this month. ™








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