Page 5 - AfrElec Week 47 2020
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AfrElec                                      COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec










































                         the 2-GW Gulf of Suez Red Sea Wind Project,
                         which will be located in the governorate of the  lagging policy and infrastructure, and poor
                         Red Sea.                             procurement. However, as electricity demand
                           Of the capacity to be installed, 500 MW will  increases, many African nations are turning to
                         be developed by German giant Siemens Gamesa  renewable solutions to meet energy targets, with
                         and 1,500 MW remains to be awarded.  solar overtaking wind in the next five years as
                           Four out of the top 10 projects to be devel-  the renewable technology of choice,” says Gaurav
                         oped in Africa in the next five years will be in  Metkar, analyst at Rystad Energy.
                         Egypt, underscoring the country’s government’s
                         commitment to its renewable goals.   Decarbonisation
                           Morocco follows Egypt in terms of the quick  While the country’s larger economies can push
                         pace of installations with 2.5 GW of installed  ahead with utility-scale wind and solar projects,
                         capacity, dominated by 1.7 GW of wind power.  other renewable technology, such as distributed
                           Rystad Energy expects solar will drive the  power supplies, pay-as-you-go solutions and off-
                         growth there, with a handful of large projects  grid technology, is also needed in the continent’s
                         already in the works such as the 1-GW Noor  rural and slum areas to improve access-to-power
                         Midelt Hybrid (CSP + Solar PV), the 400-MW  rates.
                         Noor PV II, and the 120-MW Noor Tafilalet.  Furthermore, better regulatory regimes and
                           Ethiopia’s capacity numbers will also take a  government support is needed to attract new
                         huge leap: The county currently has only 11 MW  private investors, building on the commitment
                         of installed solar capacity and close to 450 MW  of various multilateral development institutions
                         of installed wind, but is anticipated to have 3 GW  (MDIs) led by the African Development Bank
                         of renewable capacity online by 2025.  (AfDB).
                           The Tigray Hybrid Project will drive this   Renewables also need to compete with a dirty
                         increase and is forecast to contribute at least 500  and emissions-intensive petroleum industry,
                         MW of solar capacity by 2025, assuming a res-  and efforts by gas-rich governments to boost
                         olution to the current ongoing conflict by then.  gas-to-power projects in countries from Tanza-
                                                              nia to Mozambique that want to harness gas to
                         Costs                                boost industrialisation.
                         The cost of renewables is at an all-time low now,   Decarbonising Africa’s industry could prove
                         and as larger markets such as China, India and  to be more difficult that in Europe or North
                         Europe are on track to reach installation targets,  America, especially outside the Maghreb region
                         wind and solar components will become ever  and South Africa.
                         cheaper and more easily accessed, creating a   Nevertheless, harnessing Africa’s wind and
                         conducive environment for investment also in  solar potential is a major part of government
                         Africa.                              policies across the continent and offers consid-
                           “Development on the continent has his-  erable potential to investors keen to expand their
                         torically been slow due to political instability,  exposure to green projects. ™



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